Lichtenburg Nut Company Business Plan — Go-to-Market Strategy
Winning retail listings and industrial contracts, and the commercial sequencing behind the volume ramp.
Section 12 of 37
Go-to-Market Strategy
Jump to section
- 0. Basis of Preparation and Important Notice
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. Investment Thesis
- 3. The Company
- 4. Problem, Customer Need and Value Proposition
- 5. Products and Services
- 6. Industry Analysis
- 7. Market Analysis
- 8. Customer Analysis
- 9. Competitive Landscape
- 10. Business Model
- 11. Go-to-Market Strategy
- 12. Operating Model
- 13. Raw Material Supply and Contract Farming
- 14. Quality, Food Safety and Aflatoxin Control
- 15. Management and Organisation
- 16. Strategic Plan
- 17. SWOT Analysis and Strategic Implications
- 18. Risk Analysis
- 19. ESG and Development Impact
- 20. Implementation Roadmap
- 21. Financial Model and Assumptions
- 22. Projected Income Statement
- 23. Projected Balance Sheet
- 24. Projected Cash Flow
- 25. Capital Expenditure
- 26. Working Capital
- 27. Funding Requirement and Structure
- 28. Debt Serviceability
- 29. Break-even Analysis
- 30. Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis
- 31. Valuation and Investment Returns
- 32. Key Performance Indicators and Management Dashboard
- 33. Conclusion and Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Detailed Assumption Register
- B. Appendix B: Ten-Year Financial Summary
- C. Appendix C: Glossary and Sources
11.1 Sequencing
The go-to-market plan is sequenced to match cash. Channels that require investment ahead of revenue are deferred until the plant is producing reliably and the business has cash to spend.
Table 28. Go-to-market sequencing
|
Phase |
Timing |
Channels activated |
Investment required |
Volume contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Anchor and prove |
Months minus 4 to 15 |
Anchor private label contract signed pre-close; industrial and institutional accounts developed during construction; first despatch month 13 |
Sales manager and two account managers; R0.6m of listing and trial costs |
1,180 t in Year 1 |
|
Broaden the industrial base |
Months 13 to 30 |
Second national private label account; six to nine industrial accounts; two institutional contracts; regional wholesale |
Third account manager; sampling and technical support |
1,840 t in Year 2 |
|
Launch the brand |
Months 20 to 36 |
Tsala mainstream launch in North West, Free State, Northern Cape and Limpopo; Tsala Pure into selected national accounts |
R1.8m brand build in Year 2 and R2.2m of listing and range review fees |
400 t of own brand by Year 3 |
|
Add snacks and extend reach |
Months 37 to 60 |
Snack nut listings; Gauteng own brand distribution; SADC bulk export enquiry |
Phase 2 capital of R17.3m; trade activation at 7% of snack revenue |
3,000 t in Year 5 |
11.2 Sales funnel and conversion assumptions
Table 29. Sales funnel and conversion assumptions
|
Stage |
Industrial and institutional |
Own brand retail |
Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Identified prospects |
180 qualified targets in the addressable region |
Approximately 3,400 outlets in the launch provinces |
Trade directories and retailer store lists |
|
Contacted and sampled |
120 (67%) |
2,300 (68%) |
Field sales capacity of three representatives |
|
Technical or category approval |
44 (37% of sampled) |
1,900 listings (83% of contacted) |
Sample approval cycles of 6 to 14 weeks in industrial; range review outcomes in retail |
|
Converted to first order |
26 (59% of approved) |
1,900 outlets |
Industrial conversion is slow but sticky |
|
Active at Year 5 above 50 t |
14 accounts |
n/a |
Attrition of roughly 25% over the period |
|
Average annual volume per account |
57 t |
33 kg per outlet per month |
Derived from the Year 5 volume plan |
|
Estimated customer acquisition cost |
R38,000 per industrial account |
R790 per retail outlet listed |
Sales payroll, travel, sampling and listing fees divided by conversions |
Funnel figures are planning assumptions, not model outputs. They are shown so that the Year 5 volume plan can be tested against a realistic view of sales capacity rather than accepted as a growth rate.
11.3 Pricing strategy
Pricing is anchored to three references: import parity after the July 2026 duty, the observed retail price band for local brands of approximately R39 to R55 per 400 gram jar, and the cost of the nearest credible domestic alternative.
Table 30. Pricing architecture
|
Stream |
List price |
Trade deduction |
Net realised |
Implied retail |
Positioning |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Certified bulk and industrial |
R52.00/kg |
1.5% |
R51.22/kg |
n/a |
Below the R50+ landed cost of imported paste; premium to commodity domestic paste |
|
Retail private label |
R58.00/kg |
2.5% |
R56.55/kg |
R37 to R40 per 400 g |
R3 to R6 above commodity private label supply, justified by assurance |
|
Own brand blended |
R76.00/kg |
11.0% |
R67.64/kg |
R43 to R48 per 400 g mainstream; R62 to R70 per 375 g for Tsala Pure |
At the value end of the branded band; the premium tier sits with natural brands |
|
Snack nuts |
R95.00/kg |
12.0% |
R83.60/kg |
R13 to R16 per 100 g |
Mainstream snack nut pricing |
Trade deduction covers settlement discount, volume rebate and co-operative advertising. Own brand carries a materially higher deduction because branded retail requires promotional participation. Escalation of 4.4% a year is applied from Year 2.
11.4 Distribution
- Primary distribution is outsourced to a third-party logistics provider running full loads from Lichtenburg to retailer distribution centres in Gauteng, and to a Gauteng cross-dock for onward national movement. Blended cost is R2.40 per kilogram for packed product.
- Bulk distribution moves in full pallet or full load quantities directly to industrial customers at R1.60 per kilogram, reflecting the absence of secondary handling.
- Regional own brand distribution in North West, Free State and Northern Cape uses the company’s own light delivery vehicles for independent trade and wholesale, with national accounts served through their own distribution centres.
- Export to Botswana and Namibia is an unmodelled option. Lichtenburg is approximately 120 kilometres from the Botswana border, and SACU membership means no duty applies. This is deliberately excluded from the base case so that it does not flatter the volume plan.