Lichtenburg Nut Company Business Plan — Implementation Roadmap
The phases from plant construction and commissioning to full volume, dependencies and the gate at each stage.
Section 21 of 37
Implementation Roadmap
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- 0. Basis of Preparation and Important Notice
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. Investment Thesis
- 3. The Company
- 4. Problem, Customer Need and Value Proposition
- 5. Products and Services
- 6. Industry Analysis
- 7. Market Analysis
- 8. Customer Analysis
- 9. Competitive Landscape
- 10. Business Model
- 11. Go-to-Market Strategy
- 12. Operating Model
- 13. Raw Material Supply and Contract Farming
- 14. Quality, Food Safety and Aflatoxin Control
- 15. Management and Organisation
- 16. Strategic Plan
- 17. SWOT Analysis and Strategic Implications
- 18. Risk Analysis
- 19. ESG and Development Impact
- 20. Implementation Roadmap
- 21. Financial Model and Assumptions
- 22. Projected Income Statement
- 23. Projected Balance Sheet
- 24. Projected Cash Flow
- 25. Capital Expenditure
- 26. Working Capital
- 27. Funding Requirement and Structure
- 28. Debt Serviceability
- 29. Break-even Analysis
- 30. Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis
- 31. Valuation and Investment Returns
- 32. Key Performance Indicators and Management Dashboard
- 33. Conclusion and Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Detailed Assumption Register
- B. Appendix B: Ten-Year Financial Summary
- C. Appendix C: Glossary and Sources
20.1 Workstreams and milestones
Table 46. Implementation roadmap by workstream
|
Phase |
Months |
Key activities |
Milestone |
Dependency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Pre-close |
minus 6 to 0 |
Anchor private label contract negotiated and signed; APSS application submitted; executive appointments; site lease agreed; equipment specified and quoted |
Financial close with all conditions precedent satisfied |
The anchor contract is the binding constraint; without it, close should not proceed |
|
Construction |
1 to 8 |
Site handover; food-grade fit-out and civils; equipment procurement with forward cover; utilities including solar and standby generation |
Building complete and ready for plant installation, month 7 |
Municipal approvals; equipment lead times of 16 to 24 weeks on the roasting and milling train |
|
Installation |
5 to 11 |
Process plant installation; filling and packing lines; laboratory fit-out; IT, ERP and warehouse management |
Mechanical completion, month 11 |
Building completion; imported equipment delivery |
|
Commissioning |
9 to 13 |
Water and product trials; recruitment and training; FSSC 22000 implementation; trial production and customer sample approval |
First commercial despatch, month 13 |
Certificate of Acceptability; customer sample approval |
|
Supply establishment |
2 to 12 |
Grower contracting for the first season; intake infrastructure commissioning; first in-shell receipts |
1,200 t of in-shell received and stored by month 12 |
The September to November contracting window; missing it delays production by a full season |
|
Ramp |
13 to 24 |
Private label and bulk volume build; second shift phased in; industrial account development |
1,180 t and EBITDA break-even reached in month 18 |
Plant reliability; customer conversion |
|
Brand launch |
20 to 30 |
Tsala listings, artwork, trade activation and regional distribution |
Own brand at 12% of volume by end of Year 2 |
Follow-on equity tranche drawn in month 26 |
|
Phase 2 |
37 to 43 |
Snack nut roasting, seasoning and packing line; warehouse extension; additional silo capacity |
Snack nut production from month 43 |
Funded from operating cash flow and the revolving facility |
|
Phase 3 |
73 to 79 |
De-bottlenecking of the roasting and milling train to 4,800 t nameplate |
Capacity available for Year 7 volume |
R30m committed expansion tranche drawn in month 74 |
20.2 Critical path
The critical path runs: anchor contract signature (month minus 4) to financial close (month 0) to building completion (month 7) to plant installation (month 11) to Certificate of Acceptability and trial production (month 12) to first commercial despatch (month 13). Two items sit on the path with limited float and warrant particular attention.
- Equipment lead time. The roasting, blanching, colour sorting and milling train carries a 16 to 24 week lead time and must be ordered by month 2. Late ordering pushes mechanical completion beyond month 11 and risks missing the retailer range review cycle.
- The grower contracting window. Contracts for the first season must be concluded between September and November. A close date that misses this window delays first intake by a full year, which the plan cannot absorb. This is the single strongest argument for closing before the end of the first quarter of the calendar year.
- FSSC 22000 certification. Certification cannot precede a period of documented operation. The plan assumes certification between months 9 and 14 with first retail despatch in month 13, which is tight. Industrial and institutional customers may accept supply on a documented HACCP system pending certification; national retailers generally will not.