Midrand Print Company Business Plan — Appendix A: Assumption Register

The full assumption register behind the model, stated line by line for independent testing.

Section 26 of 28

Appendix A: Assumption Register

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The complete set of assumptions underlying the financial model. Every figure in the projections derives from an entry in this register; there are no unsupported growth rates.

A.1 Revenue and pricing

Assumption

Value

Basis

Practical capacity per machine

420,000 A3 / 2,600 m² / 1,450 m²

Digital, roll and flatbed respectively, per month on two shifts, net of make-ready, colour calibration, substrate changeover and planned maintenance

Realised prices

R4.90 / R285 / R520

Per A3 click, per m² roll and per m² rigid, FY2027 terms; all-in across job mix, net of programme rate-card discount

Programme fee

R11,800 / account / month

Priced against displaced client operating cost, not against print volume

Annual price escalation

5.5%

Applied to all revenue lines from FY2028

Trading commencement

Month 4

Three-month facility fit-out, plant installation and commissioning

Programme account renewal

88% annually

Reflects switching cost from embedded template libraries, net of procurement re-tender cycles

Account depth growth

9% annually

Real volume growth within retained accounts as categories and outlets migrate onto the platform

Table 47: Revenue and pricing assumptions

A.2 Cost structure

Assumption

Value

Basis

Materials, clicks and outwork

38.0% of revenue

Weighted across the four lines at FY2029 mix; substrate, click charges, ink and trade finishing

Freight and distribution

2.2% of revenue

Owned Gauteng fleet plus contracted national courier

Production labour

28.2% of revenue

Scales with volume; includes shift premium and retention allowance

Premises

R2.16m annually

2,000 m² industrial unit, escalating at 5.5% annually

Sales and marketing

2.6% of revenue at FY2031

Includes the unrecovered cost of concurrent paid pilots

Administration headcount

5, held flat

Systems-dependent; assumes the MIS carries estimating, costing, stock and invoicing

Salary inflation

5.5%

Applied annually to all payroll lines

Table 48: Cost structure assumptions

A.3 Working capital, capital and financing

Assumption

Value

Basis

Debtor days

52

Corporate 30-day terms with realistic settlement slippage; credit-controlled

Inventory days

38

Substrate and consumable holding across four production lines

Creditor days

41

Substrate merchant and OEM terms

Minimum cash balance

R1.2m

Operating float; the revolver absorbs movements around it

Opening capital expenditure

R24.6m

Committed at close; see Section 19.6

Expansion capital expenditure

R16.3m

Months 24 to 48; gated on utilisation triggers rather than dates

Asset lives

7 / 10 / 4 years

Plant; leasehold and finishing; IT and platform

Prime lending rate

10.5%

Held flat across the plan; a simplifying convention, not a forecast

Debt margins

Prime + 225 / 300 / 350bp

Asset finance (secured on plant); term loan (unsecured); revolver (secured on debtors)

Corporate income tax

27.0%

South African statutory rate

Assessed loss utilisation

80% cap

Per the South African assessed-loss limitation

Exit multiple

5.0x EBITDA

Midpoint of observed trading range for small privately held printers

Terminal growth rate

5.5%

Long-run nominal growth, approximating inflation

Table 49: Working capital, capital expenditure and financing assumptions