Midrand Print Company Business Plan — Funding Requirement and Structure

The funding package, how each tranche is applied, and the debt structure behind the press purchases.

Section 21 of 28

Funding Requirement and Structure

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20.1 Sources and uses at close

Sources and uses balance at close with a launch buffer, not to the rand
Figure 1. Sources and uses balance at close with a launch buffer, not to the rand

20.2 Total funding package

Instrument

Amount (R m)

Timing

Share of package

Equity — tranche A

15.5

At close

30.0%

Equity — tranche B

6.5

Month 15, milestone-contingent

12.6%

Asset finance — AF1

11.0

At close

21.3%

Asset finance — AF2

6.5

Month 24

12.6%

Asset finance — AF3

2.2

Month 36

4.3%

Term loan

2.5

At close

4.8%

Revolving credit facility

7.5

Committed at close

14.5%

Total committed funding

51.7

100.0%

Table 38: Total committed funding package

Equity of R22.0m represents 42.6% of the package. For a manufacturing start-up this is conservative, and deliberately so: at 30% equity the plan does not survive its own base case. The structure is driven by debt capacity during the ramp rather than by an optimal long-run capital structure, and Section 20.4 shows why.

20.3 Rationale for the instrument mix

  • Asset finance for plant. The presses are specific, resaleable and identifiable, which supports asset-backed lending at a finer margin than a general term facility. The 72-month tenor is matched to a seven-year asset life and the balloon reduces amortisation during the years when cash is scarcest.
  • Term debt for leasehold and pre-operating cost. Unsecured in substance and priced accordingly at prime plus 300 basis points, with an 18-month capital moratorium reflecting that these items generate no separable cash flow.
  • A revolver rather than more term debt for working capital. Working capital absorption is lumpy and reverses; funding it with amortising term debt would impose a repayment profile on a balance that fluctuates. The revolver is secured on debtors, which is the correct collateral for the exposure.
  • Milestone-contingent equity tranche B. Releasing R6.5m against twelve contracted programmes at month 15 aligns capital deployment with the single variable the return depends on. It reduces the investor’s exposure if the commercial thesis is not proving out, at the cost of introducing a funding cliff if the milestone is narrowly missed — a risk the board should manage by monitoring the count from month 10 rather than month 14.

20.4 Debt serviceability — the central financing constraint

Debt service is not covered from operations until FY2030
Figure 2. Debt service is not covered from operations until FY2030

R ‘000 unless stated

FY2027

FY2028

FY2029

FY2030

FY2031

Cash available for debt service

(6,116)

2,623

5,432

9,556

12,308

Debt service (capital and interest)

2,161

3,589

5,362

6,278

5,818

Debt service cover ratio

n/m

0.73x

1.01x

1.52x

2.12x

Interest cover ratio

n/m

1.97x

2.67x

3.83x

7.38x

Net debt / EBITDA

n/m

2.96x

2.53x

1.56x

0.55x

Table 39: Debt serviceability metrics

FY2027 ratios are not meaningful: the company trades for nine months and EBITDA is negative.

Leverage peaks in FY2029 and the balance sheet repairs from FY2030
Figure 3. Leverage peaks in FY2029 and the balance sheet repairs from FY2030

The position from FY2030 is comfortable. DSCR reaches 1.52x and then 2.12x; net debt falls to 0.55x EBITDA; interest cover exceeds 7.38x. The financing question is therefore not whether the business can carry this debt, at maturity it carries it easily, but whether the lender will extend the structure required to reach that point.

20.5 Liquidity headroom

The revolver absorbs the ramp — headroom is thinnest exactly when the plan is most fragile
Figure 4. The revolver absorbs the ramp — headroom is thinnest exactly when the plan is most fragile

Peak revolver utilisation of R6.8m occurs in month 37, leaving R0.7m of headroom against the R7.5m limit. Expressed differently, the base case consumes 90% of the facility at its tightest point. This is a thin margin, and it means that a single quarter of debtor slippage, or one delayed expansion milestone, would exhaust the facility. An investor or lender may reasonably conclude that the revolver should be sized at R9.0 million rather than R7.5 million; the plan does not assume that larger facility, and the base case works without it, but the additional R1.5 million would cost little and would remove the most probable cause of an unplanned funding conversation.