Evergreen Valley Avocado Estates — Production Timeline & Yield Projections
Avocado trees are long-term perennial crops that follow a predictable development trajectory. Understanding the yield curve is essential for financial planning and investor expectations.
Section 11 · Business Plan
Production Timeline & Yield Projections
Avocado trees are long-term perennial crops that follow a predictable development trajectory. Understanding the yield curve is essential for financial planning and investor expectations.
11.1 Avocado Tree Development Stages
Avocado trees are long-term perennial crops that follow a predictable development trajectory. Understanding the yield curve is essential for financial planning and investor expectations.
| Year | Development Stage | Expected Yield (tons/ha) | Total Production (tons) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | Establishment and vegetative growth | 0 | 0 |
| Year 2 | Canopy development and root establishment | 0 | 0 |
| Year 3 | Initial fruiting (Phase 1: 60 ha) | 5–8 | 300–480 |
| Year 4 | Increasing production (Phases 1–2: 110 ha) | 8–12 | 880–1,320 |
| Year 5 | Commercial production (all 150 ha bearing) | 12–16 | 1,800–2,400 |
| Year 6 | Approaching peak production | 16–20 | 2,400–3,000 |
| Year 7+ | Full mature production | 18–22 | 2,700–3,300 |
For financial projection purposes, conservative mid-range yield estimates have been adopted: 6 tons/ha in Year 3, 14 tons/ha in Year 4, and 16 tons/ha in Year 5, increasing to 20 tons/ha at full maturity. These estimates are consistent with industry benchmarks for high-density Hass orchards in the Limpopo region.
11.2 Harvest Season Profile
The harvest season runs from March to September, with peak volumes typically between May and July. The extended cultivar mix (Fuerte, Hass, and Maluma) provides a harvest window spanning the full six-month season, enabling continuous supply to packhouse partners and maximising market exposure during the premium pricing window.
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