Polar Nexus Integrated Cold Storage — Appendices

Supporting appendices — the pricing rate card, the ten-year DSCR profile, the glossary and sources, the ten-year financial summary and the Year-1 quarterly ramp underpinning the Polar Nexus business plan and financial model.

Polar Nexus Integrated Cold Storage Business PlanSection 16 › Appendices

Section 16 · Business Plan

Appendices

Supporting appendices — the pricing rate card, the ten-year DSCR profile, the glossary and sources, the ten-year financial summary and the Year-1 quarterly ramp underpinning the Polar Nexus business plan and financial model.

16.1 Pricing assumptions — rate card (per occupied pallet position / month)

Rate (ZAR) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Storage rental 185 198 212 227 242
Handling (in/out) 250 268 286 306 328
Value-added services 135 158 185 216 253
Blended 570 624 683 749 823

16.2 Ten-year DSCR profile

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
DSCR (×) 0.71 1.37 1.25 1.52 1.77 2.02 1.98 2.19 2.41 2.67

Note: Year-1 DSCR falls within the interest-only
grace period and is supported by the ramp-up reserve. From Year 3 (first
principal repayment) the ratio remains at or above the 1.25× covenant in
every period.

16.3 Glossary

Term Definition
BESS Battery energy storage system
B-BBEE Broad-based black economic empowerment
CAGR Compound annual growth rate
DSCR Debt service coverage ratio — cash available for debt service ÷ scheduled debt service
DSRA Debt service reserve account — ring-fenced cash covering future debt service
EBITDA Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation
EPC Engineering, procurement and construction (turnkey delivery contract)
FEFO / FIFO First-expired-first-out / first-in-first-out stock rotation
FSSC 22000 / HACCP Internationally recognised food-safety management standards
IRR Internal rate of return
LCOE Levelised cost of electricity
MOIC Multiple on invested capital
MWp Megawatt-peak (solar generation capacity)
NPV Net present value
SAM / SOM / TAM Serviceable addressable / serviceable obtainable / total addressable market
VAS Value-added services
WMS Warehouse management system
3PL Third-party logistics provider
Sources

Market and industry data referenced in this plan are drawn from
publicly available third-party research and have been paraphrased and
summarised, including: Grand View Research (cold chain and cold storage
market sizing); Mordor Intelligence (African cold chain logistics); the
Food and Agriculture Organization and World Bank (post-harvest losses);
WWF-SA and CSIR (food waste and energy); Agbiz, Trade Map and the Citrus
Growers’ Association (agricultural exports); and NERSA and the CSIR
(electricity tariffs and supply). Financial figures are outputs of the
Company’s financial model and are illustrative.

16.4 Ten-year financial summary (full debt-life)

The table below extends the projections across the full twelve-year
debt tenor (first ten years shown), illustrating the maturing margin
profile, the steady de-gearing of the balance sheet, and debt service
coverage strengthening to 2.67x by Year 10.

Yr Occ. Revenue EBITDA Margin NPAT DSCR Debt close
1 62% 106,020 31,740 29.9% (62,051) 0.71× 390,000
2 76% 142,135 61,499 43.3% (32,293) 1.37× 390,000
3 84% 172,074 84,214 48.9% (9,578) 1.25× 367,233
4 88% 197,765 102,577 51.9% 11,404 1.52× 341,848
5 90% 222,256 119,415 53.7% 31,161 1.77× 313,543
6 91% 247,363 136,403 55.1% 56,204 2.02× 281,983
7 91% 272,758 153,202 56.2% 57,333 1.98× 246,794
8 92% 304,616 175,602 57.6% 75,248 2.19× 207,558
9 92% 337,122 198,092 58.8% 94,959 2.41× 163,811
10 92% 373,804 223,969 59.9% 117,522 2.67× 115,032

Note: Years 6–10 assume continued occupancy
stability around 91–92% and ongoing rate escalation; taxation begins
once accumulated assessed losses are exhausted. Figures are model
outputs and illustrative.

16.5 Year-1 quarterly ramp (illustrative)

The first-year revenue ramp is underpinned by the anchor take-or-pay
commitment from commissioning, with contract and spot volumes layering
on through the year. The illustrative quarterly profile below averages
to the 62% Year-1 occupancy and R106.0 million revenue used in the
model.

Quarter Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year 1
Average occupancy 52% 58% 66% 72% 62%
Revenue (R’000) 22,232 24,797 28,217 30,774 106,020
Bankability summary

Polar Nexus combines structural market growth, anchor-underpinned
demand, conservative 50% gearing, a 38.7% cash break-even, energy
self-sufficiency and ring-fenced reserves to produce a financeable risk
profile: positive cash flow throughout, minimum post-grace DSCR of 1.25x
rising to 2.67x, a 17.1% project IRR and a 21.7% equity IRR. The Company
welcomes detailed due diligence and is ready to share its full financial
model on request.

Confidential — this business plan is provided to prospective investors and lenders for evaluation purposes only and may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of Polar Nexus Integrated Cold Storage (Pty) Ltd.