Polar Nexus Integrated Cold Storage — Appendices
Supporting appendices — the pricing rate card, the ten-year DSCR profile, the glossary and sources, the ten-year financial summary and the Year-1 quarterly ramp underpinning the Polar Nexus business plan and financial model.
Section 16 · Business Plan
Appendices
Supporting appendices — the pricing rate card, the ten-year DSCR profile, the glossary and sources, the ten-year financial summary and the Year-1 quarterly ramp underpinning the Polar Nexus business plan and financial model.
16.1 Pricing assumptions — rate card (per occupied pallet position / month)
| Rate (ZAR) | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Storage rental | 185 | 198 | 212 | 227 | 242 |
| Handling (in/out) | 250 | 268 | 286 | 306 | 328 |
| Value-added services | 135 | 158 | 185 | 216 | 253 |
| Blended | 570 | 624 | 683 | 749 | 823 |
16.2 Ten-year DSCR profile
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSCR (×) | 0.71 | 1.37 | 1.25 | 1.52 | 1.77 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 2.19 | 2.41 | 2.67 |
Note: Year-1 DSCR falls within the interest-only
grace period and is supported by the ramp-up reserve. From Year 3 (first
principal repayment) the ratio remains at or above the 1.25× covenant in
every period.
16.3 Glossary
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| BESS | Battery energy storage system |
| B-BBEE | Broad-based black economic empowerment |
| CAGR | Compound annual growth rate |
| DSCR | Debt service coverage ratio — cash available for debt service ÷ scheduled debt service |
| DSRA | Debt service reserve account — ring-fenced cash covering future debt service |
| EBITDA | Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation |
| EPC | Engineering, procurement and construction (turnkey delivery contract) |
| FEFO / FIFO | First-expired-first-out / first-in-first-out stock rotation |
| FSSC 22000 / HACCP | Internationally recognised food-safety management standards |
| IRR | Internal rate of return |
| LCOE | Levelised cost of electricity |
| MOIC | Multiple on invested capital |
| MWp | Megawatt-peak (solar generation capacity) |
| NPV | Net present value |
| SAM / SOM / TAM | Serviceable addressable / serviceable obtainable / total addressable market |
| VAS | Value-added services |
| WMS | Warehouse management system |
| 3PL | Third-party logistics provider |
Market and industry data referenced in this plan are drawn from
publicly available third-party research and have been paraphrased and
summarised, including: Grand View Research (cold chain and cold storage
market sizing); Mordor Intelligence (African cold chain logistics); the
Food and Agriculture Organization and World Bank (post-harvest losses);
WWF-SA and CSIR (food waste and energy); Agbiz, Trade Map and the Citrus
Growers’ Association (agricultural exports); and NERSA and the CSIR
(electricity tariffs and supply). Financial figures are outputs of the
Company’s financial model and are illustrative.
16.4 Ten-year financial summary (full debt-life)
The table below extends the projections across the full twelve-year
debt tenor (first ten years shown), illustrating the maturing margin
profile, the steady de-gearing of the balance sheet, and debt service
coverage strengthening to 2.67x by Year 10.
| Yr | Occ. | Revenue | EBITDA | Margin | NPAT | DSCR | Debt close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 106,020 | 31,740 | 29.9% | (62,051) | 0.71× | 390,000 |
| 2 | 76% | 142,135 | 61,499 | 43.3% | (32,293) | 1.37× | 390,000 |
| 3 | 84% | 172,074 | 84,214 | 48.9% | (9,578) | 1.25× | 367,233 |
| 4 | 88% | 197,765 | 102,577 | 51.9% | 11,404 | 1.52× | 341,848 |
| 5 | 90% | 222,256 | 119,415 | 53.7% | 31,161 | 1.77× | 313,543 |
| 6 | 91% | 247,363 | 136,403 | 55.1% | 56,204 | 2.02× | 281,983 |
| 7 | 91% | 272,758 | 153,202 | 56.2% | 57,333 | 1.98× | 246,794 |
| 8 | 92% | 304,616 | 175,602 | 57.6% | 75,248 | 2.19× | 207,558 |
| 9 | 92% | 337,122 | 198,092 | 58.8% | 94,959 | 2.41× | 163,811 |
| 10 | 92% | 373,804 | 223,969 | 59.9% | 117,522 | 2.67× | 115,032 |
Note: Years 6–10 assume continued occupancy
stability around 91–92% and ongoing rate escalation; taxation begins
once accumulated assessed losses are exhausted. Figures are model
outputs and illustrative.
16.5 Year-1 quarterly ramp (illustrative)
The first-year revenue ramp is underpinned by the anchor take-or-pay
commitment from commissioning, with contract and spot volumes layering
on through the year. The illustrative quarterly profile below averages
to the 62% Year-1 occupancy and R106.0 million revenue used in the
model.
| Quarter | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Year 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average occupancy | 52% | 58% | 66% | 72% | 62% |
| Revenue (R’000) | 22,232 | 24,797 | 28,217 | 30,774 | 106,020 |
Polar Nexus combines structural market growth, anchor-underpinned
demand, conservative 50% gearing, a 38.7% cash break-even, energy
self-sufficiency and ring-fenced reserves to produce a financeable risk
profile: positive cash flow throughout, minimum post-grace DSCR of 1.25x
rising to 2.67x, a 17.1% project IRR and a 21.7% equity IRR. The Company
welcomes detailed due diligence and is ready to share its full financial
model on request.
Confidential — this business plan is provided to prospective investors and lenders for evaluation purposes only and may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of Polar Nexus Integrated Cold Storage (Pty) Ltd.