Premier Quality Kenya Dairy Business Plan — Why the Fodder Block Is the Business

Why 12 acres of maize silage, Napier, desmodium and lucerne decide the cost per litre — and why bought-in feed destroys dairy margins.

Why the Fodder Block Is the Business

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  • 3.1 The economics, stated plainly
  • 3.2 The fodder block
  • 3.3 Feeding and the ration

This is the most important section in the plan. A zero-grazing unit converts a land-based business into a feed-purchasing business, and feed is roughly half of milk revenue at maturity. Whether that feed is grown or bought decides whether the enterprise makes money.

Year 5 profit against the share of forage grown on the farm
Figure 7. Year 5 profit against the share of forage grown on the farm.

3.1 The economics, stated plainly

The silage economics that decide the enterprise
Figure 8. The silage economics that decide the enterprise.

Home-grown maize silage costs approximately KES 4.20 per kilogram fully costed including land, labour and inputs. Purchased silage costs roughly KES 7.50, and reported market prices run from KES 8 to KES 10 a kilogram — so the KES 7.50 used here is itself conservative. The difference of KES 3.30 a kilogram is the single largest lever in the model.

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Milking herd, head

16

28

36

45

52

Young stock, head

18

32

48

62

72

Total forage required, tonnes

394

694

942

1 192

1 380

Grown on the 12-acre block at 90%, tonnes

355

625

848

1 073

1 242

Value of growing rather than buying, KES

1 170 180

2 061 180

2 797 740

3 540 240

4 098 600

3.2 The fodder block

Fodder

Area

Purpose

Maize for silage

6 acres, two crops a year where rainfall allows

The energy backbone of the ration; ensiled in bunkers to carry the herd through dry months

Napier grass, Pakchong or Kakamega variants

4 acres, cut and carry

Bulk forage; high yielding and drought-tolerant once established

Desmodium and lucerne

2 acres

Protein, reducing purchased concentrate; also improves soil nitrogen

Silage bunkers

Capacity for approximately 250 tonnes

Dry season buffer. A zero-grazing unit without conserved forage is exposed every dry season

Forage requirement and what growing it is worth
Figure 9. Forage requirement and what growing it is worth.

Twelve acres are dedicated to fodder: six to maize for silage, four to Napier grass and two to a legume component of desmodium and lucerne. The legume block does double duty — it reduces the purchased concentrate requirement and fixes nitrogen for the maize that follows it. Silage bunkers with capacity for approximately 250 tonnes provide the dry season buffer, and a zero-grazing unit without conserved forage is exposed every dry season.

3.3 Feeding and the ration

The daily ration and what the cow returns
Figure 10. The daily ration and what the cow returns.

Component

Quantity per cow per day

Indicative cost (KES)

Basis

Maize silage and Napier

45 kg fresh weight

189

At the home-grown cost of KES 4.20 a kilogram

Dairy meal concentrate

Approximately 6.75 kg at 23 litres

317

At KES 47 a kilogram, or KES 3 290 for a 70 kg bag

Minerals, salt and additives

As required

22

Mineral block, dicalcium phosphate and salt

Total feed cost

528

Per cow per day in milk

Milk revenue at 23 litres, gross

1 150

At KES 50 a litre before the cooperative deduction

Milk revenue at 23 litres, net

1 104

At KES 48 a litre after the 4% deduction

Margin over feed

576

Per cow per day in milk

Feed as a share of milk revenue
Figure 11. Feed as a share of milk revenue.

Feed represents 53.2 per cent of milk revenue at maturity, against an industry rule of thumb that it must stay below 60 per cent for the enterprise to be viable. Measured on the daily ration alone the ratio is 47.8 per cent; the difference is the dry-period and transition feeding that the annual figure carries but the per-cow-in-milk figure does not. Either way the margin of comfort exists only because of the fodder block. On purchased forage the ratio rises to about 68 per cent and the business fails.