Premier Quality Kenya Dairy Business Plan — Why the Fodder Block Is the Business
Why 12 acres of maize silage, Napier, desmodium and lucerne decide the cost per litre — and why bought-in feed destroys dairy margins.
Why the Fodder Block Is the Business
Jump to section
- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. Market and Opportunity
- 3. Why the Fodder Block Is the Business
- 4. The Production Model
- 5. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 6. Housing, Water and Equipment
- 7. Regulatory and Compliance Framework
- 8. Management and Organisation
- 9. Financial Plan
- 10. Break-Even and Debt Service
- 11. Investment Analysis
- 12. Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
- 13. Risk Analysis
- 14. Implementation Roadmap
- 15. Key Performance Indicators
- 16. Key Assumptions
- 17. Conclusion and Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Capital and Herd Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Funding and Debt Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Glossary
- 3.1 The economics, stated plainly
- 3.2 The fodder block
- 3.3 Feeding and the ration
This is the most important section in the plan. A zero-grazing unit converts a land-based business into a feed-purchasing business, and feed is roughly half of milk revenue at maturity. Whether that feed is grown or bought decides whether the enterprise makes money.
3.1 The economics, stated plainly
Home-grown maize silage costs approximately KES 4.20 per kilogram fully costed including land, labour and inputs. Purchased silage costs roughly KES 7.50, and reported market prices run from KES 8 to KES 10 a kilogram — so the KES 7.50 used here is itself conservative. The difference of KES 3.30 a kilogram is the single largest lever in the model.
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Milking herd, head |
16 |
28 |
36 |
45 |
52 |
|
Young stock, head |
18 |
32 |
48 |
62 |
72 |
|
Total forage required, tonnes |
394 |
694 |
942 |
1 192 |
1 380 |
|
Grown on the 12-acre block at 90%, tonnes |
355 |
625 |
848 |
1 073 |
1 242 |
|
Value of growing rather than buying, KES |
1 170 180 |
2 061 180 |
2 797 740 |
3 540 240 |
4 098 600 |
3.2 The fodder block
|
Fodder |
Area |
Purpose |
|---|---|---|
|
Maize for silage |
6 acres, two crops a year where rainfall allows |
The energy backbone of the ration; ensiled in bunkers to carry the herd through dry months |
|
Napier grass, Pakchong or Kakamega variants |
4 acres, cut and carry |
Bulk forage; high yielding and drought-tolerant once established |
|
Desmodium and lucerne |
2 acres |
Protein, reducing purchased concentrate; also improves soil nitrogen |
|
Silage bunkers |
Capacity for approximately 250 tonnes |
Dry season buffer. A zero-grazing unit without conserved forage is exposed every dry season |
Twelve acres are dedicated to fodder: six to maize for silage, four to Napier grass and two to a legume component of desmodium and lucerne. The legume block does double duty — it reduces the purchased concentrate requirement and fixes nitrogen for the maize that follows it. Silage bunkers with capacity for approximately 250 tonnes provide the dry season buffer, and a zero-grazing unit without conserved forage is exposed every dry season.
3.3 Feeding and the ration
|
Component |
Quantity per cow per day |
Indicative cost (KES) |
Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Maize silage and Napier |
45 kg fresh weight |
189 |
At the home-grown cost of KES 4.20 a kilogram |
|
Dairy meal concentrate |
Approximately 6.75 kg at 23 litres |
317 |
At KES 47 a kilogram, or KES 3 290 for a 70 kg bag |
|
Minerals, salt and additives |
As required |
22 |
Mineral block, dicalcium phosphate and salt |
|
Total feed cost |
— |
528 |
Per cow per day in milk |
|
Milk revenue at 23 litres, gross |
— |
1 150 |
At KES 50 a litre before the cooperative deduction |
|
Milk revenue at 23 litres, net |
— |
1 104 |
At KES 48 a litre after the 4% deduction |
|
Margin over feed |
— |
576 |
Per cow per day in milk |
Feed represents 53.2 per cent of milk revenue at maturity, against an industry rule of thumb that it must stay below 60 per cent for the enterprise to be viable. Measured on the daily ration alone the ratio is 47.8 per cent; the difference is the dry-period and transition feeding that the annual figure carries but the per-cow-in-milk figure does not. Either way the margin of comfort exists only because of the fodder block. On purchased forage the ratio rises to about 68 per cent and the business fails.