Bloomhouse Florals — Projected Cash Flow

The projected cash flow over the five-year plan — operating, investing and financing cash flows, the funding-drawdown profile and the free cash flow to equity.

Bloomhouse Florals Business PlanSection 14 › Projected Cash Flow

Section 14 · Business Plan

Projected Cash Flow

The projected cash flow over the five-year plan — operating, investing and financing cash flows, the funding-drawdown profile and the free cash flow to equity.

Cash flow is the measure that matters most to a lender and to
early-stage survival. The statement below sets out cash from operations,
investing and financing for each year, reconciling opening to closing
cash. The model holds a R3.2m opening liquidity buffer precisely to fund
the early ramp, and closing cash never falls below the minimum-cash
covenant in the base case.

14.1 Five-year cash-flow statement

R’ millions Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
Cash from operations (R0.71m) R0.63m R2.34m R4.54m R6.25m
Cash used in investing R0.00m (R0.30m) (R2.40m) (R1.35m) (R0.55m)
Cash from financing (R0.36m) (R0.36m) (R0.96m) (R0.96m) (R0.96m)
Net change in cash (R1.07m) (R0.03m) (R1.02m) R2.23m R4.74m
Opening cash R3.20m R2.13m R2.10m R1.09m R3.31m
Closing cash R2.13m R2.10m R1.09m R3.31m R8.05m

Table 25. Projected cash-flow statement, Years
1–5. Investing cash flow reflects the capex programme; financing
reflects debt service.

Figure 14.
Figure 14. Cash-flow bridge by year — operating, investing and financing flows and the resulting closing cash balance.
ANALYST CALLOUT Liquidity is engineered to survive the
ramp

Operating cash flow is negative in Year 1 (R-0.71m) as the business
launches, then turns firmly positive from Year 2. The R3.2m opening
buffer absorbs the early-year outflow, and closing cash troughs at
roughly R1.1m in Year 3 — above the R0.4m minimum-cash covenant — before
building strongly to over R8m by Year 5. The committed but undrawn R1.5m
revolver provides additional headroom should the ramp prove slower than
planned.

14.2 Working-capital dynamics

Working-capital movements are a modest use of cash as the business
grows, reflecting the build of corporate and event receivables and
inventory, partly offset by supplier payables. Because the model is
deliberately conservative on inventory and the bulk of retail and online
revenue is collected at or near the point of sale, working capital does
not become a significant drag on cash even as revenue nearly
quadruples.

Figure 15.
Figure 15. Working-capital components by year. Lean inventory and largely cash-based retail/online sales keep the working-capital drag modest.

14.3 Cash-flow quality

The quality of cash generation improves markedly across the plan.
Early cash flow is supported by the funding structure; by the back half
of the plan the business is self-funding its maintenance and expansion
capital, servicing its debt comfortably, and accumulating cash. This
progression — from externally funded ramp to self-sustaining cash
generation — is the foundation of the coverage and returns analysis in
the sections that follow.

Confidential — this business plan is provided to prospective investors and lenders for evaluation purposes only and may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of Bloomhouse Florals (Pty) Ltd.