Appendix A — Capital expenditure schedule (R m)
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Orchard development (bearer plants) |
342 |
228 |
114 |
76 |
0 |
|
Processing & cracking facilities |
72 |
192 |
144 |
72 |
0 |
|
Oil & snack plants |
0 |
72 |
96 |
72 |
0 |
|
Cold storage infrastructure |
64 |
64 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
|
Logistics & export systems |
42 |
56 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
|
Renewable energy systems |
33 |
44 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
|
Technology systems |
36 |
27 |
27 |
0 |
0 |
|
Sustaining capex |
0 |
14 |
42 |
98 |
126 |
|
Total cash capex |
589 |
697 |
530 |
318 |
126 |
Appendix B — Depreciation, interest & tax (R m)
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Depreciation (bearer + SL) |
13 |
48 |
111 |
131 |
142 |
|
Gross PP&E & bearer assets |
589 |
1,286 |
1,816 |
2,134 |
2,260 |
|
Accumulated depreciation |
13 |
60 |
171 |
302 |
444 |
|
Interest expense |
35 |
91 |
118 |
114 |
90 |
|
Debt (closing) |
600 |
980 |
1,075 |
915 |
655 |
|
Taxation |
11 |
20 |
60 |
149 |
278 |
Appendix C — Orchard ramp & production
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bearing hectares |
1,000 |
2,100 |
3,500 |
4,900 |
6,200 |
|
Yield factor (of mature) |
25% |
38% |
55% |
72% |
88% |
|
Macadamia output (t) |
800 |
2,554 |
6,160 |
11,290 |
17,459 |
|
Macadamia export revenue (R m) |
250 |
470 |
835 |
1,368 |
1,958 |
|
Revenue per hectare (R) |
520,000 |
466,667 |
497,143 |
581,633 |
658,065 |
Appendix D — Key ratios
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
EBITDA margin |
16.9% |
21.6% |
26.0% |
27.9% |
30.9% |
|
EBIT margin |
14.5% |
16.8% |
19.6% |
23.3% |
27.4% |
|
Net margin |
5.7% |
5.5% |
9.4% |
14.1% |
18.4% |
|
ROCE |
3.5% |
6.0% |
11.2% |
20.7% |
31.3% |
|
DSCR (x) |
2.23x |
2.12x |
1.76x |
2.00x |
2.45x |
|
Interest cover (x) |
2.2x |
1.8x |
2.9x |
5.8x |
12.4x |
|
Net debt / EBITDA (x) |
-3.64x |
1.62x |
1.69x |
1.05x |
0.38x |
Appendix E — Assumptions register
|
Assumption |
Value / basis |
|---|---|
|
Kernel price (base / range) |
US$13.50/kg base; US$9–17.5/kg tested |
|
Rand / US dollar |
R18.5 per US$ |
|
Orchard footprint / mature yield |
6,200 ha / ~3.2 t/ha DIS; ~312 trees/ha |
|
Bearing ramp |
900 ha (Y1) to 6,200 ha (Y5); phased vintages |
|
Debt : equity |
55 : 45 (R1,320m : R1,080m) |
|
Cost of debt / tenor |
11.5%; grace on principal Yrs 1–2 |
|
Tax |
27% with 80% assessed-loss set-off cap |
|
Depreciation |
Bearer plants over 20 yrs from bearing; plant by vintage |
|
Working capital / dividends |
14% of revenue; 30% NPAT, deferred to Yr 3 |
|
Exit |
7.5x EV/EBITDA on Year-5 EBITDA |
Appendix F — Glossary
|
Term |
Definition |
|---|---|
|
Bearer plant |
A living plant (here, an macadamia tree) cultivated to bear produce over multiple periods; capitalised and depreciated once bearing. |
|
CFADS |
Cash flow available for debt service. |
|
DSCR |
Debt-service cover ratio — CFADS divided by debt service. |
|
DFI |
Development finance institution (e.g. IDC, Land Bank, DBSA, AfDB). |
|
FOB |
Free on board — the export price at the port of loading. |
|
Beaumont (695) |
The most widely planted SA macadamia cultivar, valued for yield and reliability. |
|
GlobalG.A.P. |
Global standard for good agricultural practice; a baseline export certification. |
|
J-curve |
The delayed-yield profile of a perennial crop — low early output rising to a mature plateau. |
|
SKR / crack-out |
Sound kernel recovery — the share of nut-in-shell weight recovered as saleable kernel (~33%). |
|
ROCE |
Return on capital employed — NOPAT divided by capital employed. |
Appendix G — Integrated five-year financial summary (R m)
The condensed statement below draws the projection together on a single page, the profit and loss, balance sheet and cash flow reconciled and tying in every year.
|
Line item (R m) |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
INCOME STATEMENT |
|||||
|
Revenue |
520 |
980 |
1,740 |
2,850 |
4,080 |
|
EBITDA |
88 |
212 |
452 |
796 |
1,260 |
|
Depreciation |
-13 |
-48 |
-111 |
-131 |
-142 |
|
Net interest |
-35 |
-91 |
-118 |
-114 |
-90 |
|
Taxation |
-11 |
-20 |
-60 |
-149 |
-278 |
|
Net profit after tax |
30 |
54 |
163 |
402 |
750 |
|
BALANCE SHEET |
|||||
|
Net PP&E & bearer assets |
576 |
1,226 |
1,645 |
1,832 |
1,816 |
|
Cash |
920 |
636 |
311 |
80 |
176 |
|
Total assets |
1,575 |
2,008 |
2,217 |
2,339 |
2,604 |
|
Total equity |
975 |
1,028 |
1,142 |
1,424 |
1,949 |
|
Senior debt |
600 |
980 |
1,075 |
915 |
655 |
|
CASH FLOW |
|||||
|
Operating |
-36 |
32 |
160 |
367 |
708 |
|
Investing |
-589 |
-697 |
-530 |
-318 |
-126 |
|
Financing |
1,545 |
380 |
46 |
-280 |
-485 |
|
Closing cash |
920 |
636 |
311 |
80 |
176 |
This document is strictly private and confidential. It has been prepared for the exclusive use of prospective financiers and does not constitute an offer of securities or investment advice. All projections are estimates based on stated assumptions and are subject to material risk, of which macadamia-price, climatic and execution risk are the most significant.