CrownNut Macadamia Agri Exports Business Plan — Appendices

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Appendices

Appendix A — Capital expenditure schedule (R m)

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Orchard development (bearer plants)

342

228

114

76

0

Processing & cracking facilities

72

192

144

72

0

Oil & snack plants

0

72

96

72

0

Cold storage infrastructure

64

64

32

0

0

Logistics & export systems

42

56

42

0

0

Renewable energy systems

33

44

33

0

0

Technology systems

36

27

27

0

0

Sustaining capex

0

14

42

98

126

Total cash capex

589

697

530

318

126

Appendix B — Depreciation, interest & tax (R m)

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Depreciation (bearer + SL)

13

48

111

131

142

Gross PP&E & bearer assets

589

1,286

1,816

2,134

2,260

Accumulated depreciation

13

60

171

302

444

Interest expense

35

91

118

114

90

Debt (closing)

600

980

1,075

915

655

Taxation

11

20

60

149

278

Appendix C — Orchard ramp & production

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Bearing hectares

1,000

2,100

3,500

4,900

6,200

Yield factor (of mature)

25%

38%

55%

72%

88%

Macadamia output (t)

800

2,554

6,160

11,290

17,459

Macadamia export revenue (R m)

250

470

835

1,368

1,958

Revenue per hectare (R)

520,000

466,667

497,143

581,633

658,065

Appendix D — Key ratios

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

EBITDA margin

16.9%

21.6%

26.0%

27.9%

30.9%

EBIT margin

14.5%

16.8%

19.6%

23.3%

27.4%

Net margin

5.7%

5.5%

9.4%

14.1%

18.4%

ROCE

3.5%

6.0%

11.2%

20.7%

31.3%

DSCR (x)

2.23x

2.12x

1.76x

2.00x

2.45x

Interest cover (x)

2.2x

1.8x

2.9x

5.8x

12.4x

Net debt / EBITDA (x)

-3.64x

1.62x

1.69x

1.05x

0.38x

Appendix E — Assumptions register

Assumption

Value / basis

Kernel price (base / range)

US$13.50/kg base; US$9–17.5/kg tested

Rand / US dollar

R18.5 per US$

Orchard footprint / mature yield

6,200 ha / ~3.2 t/ha DIS; ~312 trees/ha

Bearing ramp

900 ha (Y1) to 6,200 ha (Y5); phased vintages

Debt : equity

55 : 45 (R1,320m : R1,080m)

Cost of debt / tenor

11.5%; grace on principal Yrs 1–2

Tax

27% with 80% assessed-loss set-off cap

Depreciation

Bearer plants over 20 yrs from bearing; plant by vintage

Working capital / dividends

14% of revenue; 30% NPAT, deferred to Yr 3

Exit

7.5x EV/EBITDA on Year-5 EBITDA

Appendix F — Glossary

Term

Definition

Bearer plant

A living plant (here, an macadamia tree) cultivated to bear produce over multiple periods; capitalised and depreciated once bearing.

CFADS

Cash flow available for debt service.

DSCR

Debt-service cover ratio — CFADS divided by debt service.

DFI

Development finance institution (e.g. IDC, Land Bank, DBSA, AfDB).

FOB

Free on board — the export price at the port of loading.

Beaumont (695)

The most widely planted SA macadamia cultivar, valued for yield and reliability.

GlobalG.A.P.

Global standard for good agricultural practice; a baseline export certification.

J-curve

The delayed-yield profile of a perennial crop — low early output rising to a mature plateau.

SKR / crack-out

Sound kernel recovery — the share of nut-in-shell weight recovered as saleable kernel (~33%).

ROCE

Return on capital employed — NOPAT divided by capital employed.

Appendix G — Integrated five-year financial summary (R m)

The condensed statement below draws the projection together on a single page, the profit and loss, balance sheet and cash flow reconciled and tying in every year.

Line item (R m)

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue

520

980

1,740

2,850

4,080

EBITDA

88

212

452

796

1,260

Depreciation

-13

-48

-111

-131

-142

Net interest

-35

-91

-118

-114

-90

Taxation

-11

-20

-60

-149

-278

Net profit after tax

30

54

163

402

750

BALANCE SHEET

Net PP&E & bearer assets

576

1,226

1,645

1,832

1,816

Cash

920

636

311

80

176

Total assets

1,575

2,008

2,217

2,339

2,604

Total equity

975

1,028

1,142

1,424

1,949

Senior debt

600

980

1,075

915

655

CASH FLOW

Operating

-36

32

160

367

708

Investing

-589

-697

-530

-318

-126

Financing

1,545

380

46

-280

-485

Closing cash

920

636

311

80

176

This document is strictly private and confidential. It has been prepared for the exclusive use of prospective financiers and does not constitute an offer of securities or investment advice. All projections are estimates based on stated assumptions and are subject to material risk, of which macadamia-price, climatic and execution risk are the most significant.