Naledi Threads Business Plan — Products and Merchandise Strategy
The range architecture, size curve, buying rhythm and the open-to-buy discipline that stops a boutique drowning in unsold stock.
Products and Merchandise Strategy
Jump to section
- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. The Business
- 3. Market Analysis
- 4. Location Strategy
- 5. Products and Merchandise Strategy
- 6. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 7. Marketing and Sales
- 8. Operations
- 9. People, Compliance and Controls
- 10. Implementation Plan
- 11. Financial Plan
- 12. Break-Even
- 13. Working Capital and Debt Service
- 14. Returns
- 15. Sensitivity and Scenarios
- 16. Risk Management
- 17. Trigger Points and Management Response
- 18. Key Performance Indicators
- 19. Key Assumptions
- 20. Conclusion
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Capital and Pre-Opening Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Funding and Debt Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Glossary
- 5.1 Range architecture
- 5.2 Merchandise mix
- 5.3 Sourcing and supply
- 5.4 Open-to-buy discipline
- 5.5 Markdown and clearance policy
5.1 Range architecture
The store opens with approximately 1 450 units at a cost of R225 000, across roughly 55 style options. Each style is bought in a full size curve from 30 to 46, weighted to 36–42. This produces an average cost per unit of about R155 and an average unit retail of about R270.
Range discipline is the operating philosophy. A 55 m² store that tries to carry breadth ends up with one of everything, no size depth, and a customer who cannot find her size in the item she wants. The plan buys fewer styles in greater depth, accepting that some customers will not find what they want on any given visit.
5.2 Merchandise mix
|
Category |
Revenue share |
Target margin |
Stock turn |
Role in the range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dresses and occasion wear |
24.5% |
57.5% |
2.9x |
Margin anchor; strongest defence against online |
|
Tops, blouses and knitwear |
22.0% |
54.5% |
4.2x |
Volume driver and add-on sale |
|
Bottoms: trousers, skirts, denim |
18.5% |
50.5% |
3.4x |
Fit-critical; the reason she comes in rather than orders |
|
Outerwear and jackets |
10.5% |
52.5% |
2.1x |
Seasonal; high value, slow turn, markdown risk |
|
Local designer capsule |
9.5% |
61.0% |
2.4x |
Differentiation; no reorder capability |
|
Accessories |
9.0% |
64.0% |
3.8x |
Highest margin; drives units per transaction |
|
Modest and traditional-modern edit |
6.0% |
56.0% |
3.1x |
Under-served locally; strong occasion demand |
5.3 Sourcing and supply
|
Channel |
Share of buy |
Lead time |
Terms and risk |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Johannesburg CBD wholesale |
42% |
Immediate |
Cash or 30 days once established; low minimums, no exclusivity |
|
Local cut-make-and-trim and small manufacturers |
23% |
4–6 weeks |
50% deposit; supports size-curve control and Buy Local positioning |
|
Imported via local agents |
20% |
8–12 weeks |
Deposit plus balance on landing; currency and duty exposure |
|
Local designer capsule |
9% |
6–10 weeks |
Consignment where possible; sale-or-return reduces markdown risk |
|
Accessories wholesale |
6% |
1–2 weeks |
30 days; low minimums, high margin |
New retail accounts are usually opened on a cash basis. The model reflects this: creditor days start at 24 days and only reach 40 days by Year 5. Every additional day of supplier credit obtained in Year 1 releases roughly R2 925 of cash — which, given the Year 1 cash trough of R116 922, is not a trivial sum. Supplier terms negotiation should be treated as a funding activity, not a procurement one.
5.4 Open-to-buy discipline
The single most common cause of failure in independent fashion retail is buying more stock than the store can sell at full price. The controls are simple and must be non-negotiable.
- A written open-to-buy budget per category per month, calculated as planned sales at cost plus planned closing stock less opening stock less stock on order.
- No purchase order issued without available open-to-buy in that category. Overspend in one category must be funded by an explicit reduction in another.
- Forward cover held between four and five months of cost of sales in Year 1, tightening as stock turn improves from 2.6 to 3.8 times.
- A weekly best-seller and worst-seller report. Reorder the top decile within seven days where the supplier allows; mark down the bottom decile at week six, not week twelve.
- A hard rule that no style enters a third season. Terminal stock is cleared, written off, or donated.
5.5 Markdown and clearance policy
|
Margin build |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Initial mark-on |
55.6% |
55.6% |
56.2% |
56.5% |
56.5% |
|
Less: markdown and clearance |
(5.5%) |
(4.2%) |
(3.7%) |
(3.6%) |
(3.4%) |
|
Less: shrinkage and loss |
(1.6%) |
(1.4%) |
(1.3%) |
(1.1%) |
(0.9%) |
|
Achieved gross margin |
48.5% |
50.0% |
51.2% |
51.8% |
52.2% |
|
Gross profit |
879 145 |
1 141 982 |
1 298 023 |
1 411 727 |
1 515 099 |
The store buys at an initial mark-on of about 55.6 per cent — roughly a 2.25 times cost multiple. It does not achieve that. Markdown and clearance take 5.5 points in Year 1 and shrinkage a further 1.6 points, leaving an achieved margin of 48.5 per cent.
The improvement to 52.2 per cent by Year 5 is not assumed to come from raising prices. It comes from three specific operational gains: better buying accuracy reducing the markdown drag from 5.5 to 3.4 points; tighter shrinkage control from 1.6 to 0.9 per cent of sales; and a modest lift in intake margin from direct sourcing. If those operational gains do not materialise, the margin does not improve — and Section 15 shows that a three-point margin miss costs R76 056 of Year 3 EBITDA, which is nearly half of it.
|
Trigger |
Action |
Discount |
Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Week 6, bottom decile |
First markdown |
20% |
Recover cash early while demand remains |
|
Week 10 |
Second markdown |
35% |
Clear before the season turns |
|
Week 14 |
Clearance rail |
50–60% |
Convert to cash; free the fixture |
|
End of season |
Terminal clearance |
70%+ |
No style enters a third season |