OptiFleet Solutions — Sensitivity Analysis
The following sensitivity analysis illustrates the impact of key variable changes on the Company’s Year 5 net profit projection:
Section 13 · Business Plan
Sensitivity Analysis
The following sensitivity analysis illustrates the impact of key variable changes on the Company’s Year 5 net profit projection:
The following sensitivity analysis illustrates the impact of key variable changes on the Company’s Year 5 net profit projection:
| Variable | Base Case | Downside (-20%) | Upside (+20%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | R65.0m | R52.0m | R78.0m |
| Net Profit Impact | R6.8m | R2.1m | R11.5m |
| Vehicle Growth Rate | 12,000 | 9,600 | 14,400 |
| Net Profit Impact | R6.8m | R3.4m | R10.2m |
| Operating Costs | R14.2m | R17.0m (+20%) | R11.4m (-20%) |
| Net Profit Impact | R6.8m | R4.8m | R8.8m |
The sensitivity analysis demonstrates that the Company’s business model remains profitable across all downside scenarios tested. Even under a combined adverse scenario (20% revenue reduction with 10% cost increase), the Company is projected to remain cash-flow positive from Year 3 onwards, confirming the robustness of the financial model.
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