Quick and Efficient Gas Business Plan
Investor-ready LPG refill business plan: R4.04m funding, 4.9 tonne bulk vessel, 49 fills a day and R16.79m Year 5 revenue on a regulated price.
LPG Gas Refill Shop Business Plan — South Africa
Quick and Efficient Gas (Pty) Ltd · The Government Sets The Price. Everything Follows From That.
A licensed LPG cylinder refill shop on a high-traffic peri-urban site in Gauteng —
refilling from an on-site 4.9 tonne bulk vessel at the regulated selling price of R378 a 9 kg cylinder,
building to 47 fills a day and 246.5 tonnes of LPG a year at maturity. Total funding of R4 041 000:
R2 100 000 owner equity at 52 per cent and a R1 941 000 term loan at 13.75 per cent with
a three-month capital moratorium.
Most business plans open by explaining what the founder will do. This one opens by
explaining what the founder cannot do. The maximum LPG refill price is set by government and published by zone —
R42.00 a kilogram, or R378 for a 9 kg cylinder, in Johannesburg — so there is no pricing strategy available
here, only a volume strategy. That single constraint shapes everything: the shop earns in the gap between wholesale
cost and a number it cannot change, which is R12.40 a kilogram by Year 5, and it turns R16.79 million of
revenue into R1.54 million of EBITDA at a 9.2 per cent margin. A funder should read that margin rather than
the turnover. The reassuring number is the safety margin on volume: break-even needs 30.9 cylinder fills a day
against a plan of 47.
The plan at a glance
Six measures that determine whether this shop and its funding stand up.
What is fixed and what is not
The one variable the operator cannot touch, and the one that decides the outcome.
Five years of trading
Revenue and EBITDA on the base case. Fills a day and the gas margin per kilogram are the two assumptions that matter most, and both are stressed in Section 10.
Revenue build — and the fills a day behind it
Revenue is fills multiplied by a price the shop does not set. Volume rises from 27.3 cylinder fills a day to 49.4, taking LPG sold from 143 tonnes a year to 259.
EBITDA and margin, Year 2 onward
Year 1 runs a small EBITDA deficit of R200,000. Note the scale against revenue: R16.79m of turnover produces R1.54m of EBITDA — a 9.2% margin, because the selling price is regulated.
R0.52m · 4.6%
Why this plan works the way it does
Financial snapshot
Four charts from the plan. The full set of twenty-four appears throughout the sections below.
Contents
Sixteen sections and five appendices. Every page carries full navigation, a section outline and links to the sections either side of it.
- 1Executive SummaryA licensed LPG cylinder refill shop: R4.04m funding, 246.5 tonnes a year at maturity, R16.79m…
- 2The Business and the Regulated PriceHow the maximum refill price is set by zone, what R42.00 a kilogram in the Johannesburg zone…
- 3Licensing, Safety and ComplianceTrade and site licensing, SANS standards for bulk storage and filling, fire and emergency…
- 4Market and CustomersHousehold, informal trade and small commercial demand on a peri-urban high-traffic site, and…
- 5SWOT and Competitive PositionStrengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats for a licensed refill shop, and the strategic…
- 6OperationsThe 4.9 tonne bulk vessel, decanting and filling workflow, cylinder handling, stock control and…
- 7Financial PlanFive-year projections with full income statement, cash flow and balance sheet: revenue to…
- 8Break-Even and Debt ServiceBreak-even at 30.9 fills a day against a plan of 47, and debt service across the three-month…
- 9Investment AnalysisThe project and equity returns, the exit assumption behind them, and what the numbers do and do…
- 10Sensitivity and Scenario AnalysisWhat moves Year 5 EBITDA: fills a day, gas margin per kilogram, operating cost and the…
- 11The Margin SqueezeThe structural risk in a regulated business: costs rise with inflation while the selling price…
- 12Risk AnalysisRegulatory price risk, safety incidents, supply interruption and the cash absorbed through the…
- 13Implementation RoadmapThe phases from site and licence to full trading, critical dependencies, conditions precedent…
- 14Key Performance IndicatorsThe fills, tonnes, margin per kilogram and safety indicators reported weekly, with targets and…
- 15Key AssumptionsEvery volume, price, margin, cost and funding assumption behind the model, and those most in…
- 16Conclusion and RecommendationWhat the numbers support, what they do not, and the conditions on which the plan recommends…
- AAppendix A: Consolidated Financial SummaryConsolidated five-year summary: fills, tonnes, margin per kilogram, revenue, EBITDA, profit…
- BAppendix B: Volume, Price and Cost SchedulesDetailed volume, regulated price and cost schedules underpinning the revenue build and the gas…
- CAppendix C: Funding, Debt and Working Capital SchedulesSources and uses, the term loan schedule, the opening balance sheet and the working capital…
- DAppendix D: Risk RegisterDetailed risk register scoring likelihood and impact, with mitigations and the pre-committed…
- EAppendix E: GlossaryGlossary of LPG, refill, regulated pricing and financial terms used throughout the Quick and…
investment in Quick and Efficient Gas (Pty) Ltd and may not be reproduced or distributed without written consent. Projections are
forward-looking statements based on the assumptions registered in Section 16 and are not guarantees of future
performance.