Frame & Field Studios Business Plan — Key Assumptions
Every utilisation, day rate, cost, capital and funding assumption behind the model, and those most in need of verification.
Key Assumptions
Jump to section
- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. What Artificial Intelligence Has Taken, and What It Has Not
- 2. Executive Summary
- 3. Service Lines, Clients and Pricing
- 4. Capacity: The Shooting Day and the Editing Day
- 5. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 6. Organisation, Rights and Compliance
- 7. Financial Plan
- 8. Break-Even and Debt Service
- 9. Investment Analysis
- 10. Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
- 11. Risk Analysis
- 12. Implementation Roadmap
- 13. Key Performance Indicators
- 14. Key Assumptions
- 15. Conclusion and Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Capacity, Mix and Cost Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Funding, Debt and Working Capital Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Glossary
- 14.1 Capacity, mix and pricing
- 14.2 Cost, capital and funding
- 14.3 Assumptions most in need of independent verification
14.1 Capacity, mix and pricing
|
Assumption |
Year 1 |
Year 5 |
Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Photographers |
3.0 |
7.5 |
Hired against booked forward diary, not against ambition |
|
Editors |
1.5 |
4.5 |
Matched to shooting capacity at every step |
|
Working days a year |
232 |
232 |
After leave, public holidays and administration |
|
Billable utilisation |
58% |
71% |
Break-even is 39.9%; editing caps output above 69% |
|
Shooting days possible |
404 |
1 235 |
Photographers times working days times utilisation |
|
Editing capacity in shoot-day terms |
398 |
1 195 |
Editors times working days divided by the editing ratio |
|
Billable days delivered |
398 |
1 195 |
The lower of the two; editing binds in every year |
|
Editing ratio |
0.87 |
0.87 |
Blended; motion work carries 2.4 days per shooting day |
|
Blended day rate |
R20 946 |
R23 407 |
5.5% escalation less AI erosion weighted by line exposure |
|
Net day-rate increase |
2.8% a year |
Against direct costs escalating at 6.0% |
|
|
Catalogue share of days |
4% |
4% |
Deliberately minimal; 85% AI exposure |
|
Weighted AI exposure, day-weighted |
21.8% |
21.8% |
Against 54.0% on a conventional studio mix |
|
Weighted AI exposure, revenue-weighted |
25.7% |
25.7% |
R7 185 528 of mature revenue at risk |
14.2 Cost, capital and funding
|
Assumption |
Value |
Basis |
|---|---|---|
|
Direct cost per billable day |
R6 880 |
32.8% of the blended day rate; escalated at 6.0% |
|
Contribution per billable day |
R14 066 |
67.2% of the day rate |
|
Permanent staff at maturity |
16 |
Base payroll R6 624 000 plus 2.1% statutory contributions |
|
Payroll |
R6 763 104 |
69.2% of the cash fixed cost base |
|
Studio lease |
R745 920 |
420 m² at R148/m² a month |
|
AI tooling and licences |
R268 000 |
Aimed at the editing ratio, which is the binding constraint |
|
Total cash fixed costs at maturity |
R9 773 024 |
Escalated at 5.8% |
|
Capital expenditure |
R6 940 000 |
58.5% of the funding requirement |
|
Working capital and pre-opening |
R4 920 000 |
41.5% of the requirement |
|
Total funding requirement |
R11 860 000 |
|
|
Depreciation |
R1 330 333 a year |
Straight-line over four to ten years |
|
Promoter and investor equity |
R5 900 000 |
49.7% of the funding |
|
Debt and asset finance |
R5 960 000 |
Five years at 13.22% |
|
Working capital facility |
R3 600 000 |
Committed at drawdown; peaks at R2 954 905 drawn |
|
Debtor days / work in progress / creditor days |
58 / 12 / 28 |
Corporate and agency payment behaviour |
|
Taxation |
SBC rates below R20m turnover, then 27% |
Section 20 limitation applied to the assessed loss |
|
Exit multiple |
4.5x Year 5 EBITDA |
A creative services business whose assets can resign |
14.3 Assumptions most in need of independent verification
|
Assumption |
Modelled |
Verification required |
Consequence if wrong |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Billable utilisation of 71% at maturity |
From 58% in Year 1 |
A full year of measured billable days at a comparable studio, or the founder’s own trading history |
Break-even is 39.9%. Eight points below plan costs R1 530 984 a year |
|
The editing ratio of 0.87 |
Blended across the service mix |
Measured post-production hours against shooting days, by service line |
It binds output in every year. 15% worse costs R2 311 197 |
|
Blended day rate of R20 946 |
Escalating 2.8% a year net of AI erosion |
Quotations and won briefs across all five lines, not a rate card |
A 10% movement swings mature EBITDA by R5 617 680 |
|
The service mix and its exposure scores |
21.8% day-weighted, 25.7% revenue-weighted |
The reader’s own judgement; the scores are stated so they can be disputed |
On a conventional mix, revenue at risk rises from R7.19m to R12.67m |
|
Three retainer clients before opening |
Assumed contracted |
Signed retainer or framework agreements, not letters of intent |
Year 1 utilisation of 58% is not achievable on ad hoc work |
|
Debtor days of 58 |
Corporate and agency terms |
Payment history from comparable corporate and agency clients |
Working capital already reaches 16.3% of revenue and exceeds the facility |
|
Exit at 4.5 times Year 5 EBITDA |
R24 023 632 terminal value |
Comparable transactions in creative services, and client tenure analysis |
At three times the project returns 22.7%; the multiple is most of the return |
The list is ordered by consequence, and the first two are both capacity assumptions rather than market ones. That is the character of this business: the market for evidential photography is reasonably secure, and what is uncertain is whether a sixteen-person studio can be scheduled tightly enough to bill 71 per cent of its available days while editing keeps pace. Both can be measured within a year of trading, and neither can be settled from a spreadsheet.