Frame & Field Studios Business Plan — Key Assumptions

Every utilisation, day rate, cost, capital and funding assumption behind the model, and those most in need of verification.

Key Assumptions

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  • 14.1 Capacity, mix and pricing
  • 14.2 Cost, capital and funding
  • 14.3 Assumptions most in need of independent verification

14.1 Capacity, mix and pricing

Assumption

Year 1

Year 5

Basis

Photographers

3.0

7.5

Hired against booked forward diary, not against ambition

Editors

1.5

4.5

Matched to shooting capacity at every step

Working days a year

232

232

After leave, public holidays and administration

Billable utilisation

58%

71%

Break-even is 39.9%; editing caps output above 69%

Shooting days possible

404

1 235

Photographers times working days times utilisation

Editing capacity in shoot-day terms

398

1 195

Editors times working days divided by the editing ratio

Billable days delivered

398

1 195

The lower of the two; editing binds in every year

Editing ratio

0.87

0.87

Blended; motion work carries 2.4 days per shooting day

Blended day rate

R20 946

R23 407

5.5% escalation less AI erosion weighted by line exposure

Net day-rate increase

2.8% a year

Against direct costs escalating at 6.0%

Catalogue share of days

4%

4%

Deliberately minimal; 85% AI exposure

Weighted AI exposure, day-weighted

21.8%

21.8%

Against 54.0% on a conventional studio mix

Weighted AI exposure, revenue-weighted

25.7%

25.7%

R7 185 528 of mature revenue at risk

14.2 Cost, capital and funding

Assumption

Value

Basis

Direct cost per billable day

R6 880

32.8% of the blended day rate; escalated at 6.0%

Contribution per billable day

R14 066

67.2% of the day rate

Permanent staff at maturity

16

Base payroll R6 624 000 plus 2.1% statutory contributions

Payroll

R6 763 104

69.2% of the cash fixed cost base

Studio lease

R745 920

420 m² at R148/m² a month

AI tooling and licences

R268 000

Aimed at the editing ratio, which is the binding constraint

Total cash fixed costs at maturity

R9 773 024

Escalated at 5.8%

Capital expenditure

R6 940 000

58.5% of the funding requirement

Working capital and pre-opening

R4 920 000

41.5% of the requirement

Total funding requirement

R11 860 000

Depreciation

R1 330 333 a year

Straight-line over four to ten years

Promoter and investor equity

R5 900 000

49.7% of the funding

Debt and asset finance

R5 960 000

Five years at 13.22%

Working capital facility

R3 600 000

Committed at drawdown; peaks at R2 954 905 drawn

Debtor days / work in progress / creditor days

58 / 12 / 28

Corporate and agency payment behaviour

Taxation

SBC rates below R20m turnover, then 27%

Section 20 limitation applied to the assessed loss

Exit multiple

4.5x Year 5 EBITDA

A creative services business whose assets can resign

14.3 Assumptions most in need of independent verification

Assumption

Modelled

Verification required

Consequence if wrong

Billable utilisation of 71% at maturity

From 58% in Year 1

A full year of measured billable days at a comparable studio, or the founder’s own trading history

Break-even is 39.9%. Eight points below plan costs R1 530 984 a year

The editing ratio of 0.87

Blended across the service mix

Measured post-production hours against shooting days, by service line

It binds output in every year. 15% worse costs R2 311 197

Blended day rate of R20 946

Escalating 2.8% a year net of AI erosion

Quotations and won briefs across all five lines, not a rate card

A 10% movement swings mature EBITDA by R5 617 680

The service mix and its exposure scores

21.8% day-weighted, 25.7% revenue-weighted

The reader’s own judgement; the scores are stated so they can be disputed

On a conventional mix, revenue at risk rises from R7.19m to R12.67m

Three retainer clients before opening

Assumed contracted

Signed retainer or framework agreements, not letters of intent

Year 1 utilisation of 58% is not achievable on ad hoc work

Debtor days of 58

Corporate and agency terms

Payment history from comparable corporate and agency clients

Working capital already reaches 16.3% of revenue and exceeds the facility

Exit at 4.5 times Year 5 EBITDA

R24 023 632 terminal value

Comparable transactions in creative services, and client tenure analysis

At three times the project returns 22.7%; the multiple is most of the return

The list is ordered by consequence, and the first two are both capacity assumptions rather than market ones. That is the character of this business: the market for evidential photography is reasonably secure, and what is uncertain is whether a sixteen-person studio can be scheduled tightly enough to bill 71 per cent of its available days while editing keeps pace. Both can be measured within a year of trading, and neither can be settled from a spreadsheet.