The programme is structured in three phases over ten years, front-loading the core manufacturing plant that generates early revenue, then expanding and integrating, and ultimately building multiple production sites for regional dominance.
7.1 Phase 1 (Years 1–2) — Core manufacturing setup
Scope. Scrap-processing facility (shredder and sorting plant), one electric arc furnace, a basic rolling mill and a grinding-media production plant.
Strategic outcome. Establishes integrated scrap-to-steel-to-consumables production and first revenue, the foundation for everything that follows.
7.2 Phase 2 (Years 3–5) — Expansion & integration
Scope. A second EAF furnace, expanded casting facilities, an automated grinding-media line and regional warehousing hubs.
Strategic outcome. Doubles steelmaking capacity, scales the high-margin consumables line and extends distribution reach across the region.
7.3 Phase 3 (Years 6–10) — Regional dominance
Scope. Multiple production sites (Zambia and South Africa), export-focused manufacturing clusters and vertical integration into mining contracts.
Strategic outcome. Builds SSIC into a regional champion positioned close to the copper and cobalt belts, the phase that drives revenue toward $740m but requires the largest additional capital.
Analyst flagPhase 3 is where the capital requirement escalates
Phase 1 and much of Phase 2 are broadly covered by the base-case $280m and the indicative $300m committed stack. Phase 3, multiple production sites in Zambia and South Africa and export-focused clusters, is where revenue climbs toward $740m and where the capital requirement escalates beyond the committed funding. Building multiple sites cannot be funded from the base case alone; it requires substantial additional capital (modelled here as a Phase-3 debt tranche and reinvested cash flow), taking total capital deployed toward $450m, above the top of the sponsor’s $220–350m envelope. The plan should be read as funding Phases 1–2 and initiating Phase 3, with the full multi-site build requiring a subsequent capital plan.