Thaba Goats Business Plan — Implementation Timeline
The phased timeline from first placement to the 300-doe herd, with the dependencies governing each stage gate.
Implementation Timeline
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- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. The South African Goat Market
- 3. Why the Informal Market Matters More Than the Abattoir
- 4. Seasonality
- 5. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 6. The Five-Stage Roadmap and Gates
- 7. The Funding Ladder
- 8. Herd and Reproduction
- 9. Kid Mortality: The Industry's Named Constraint
- 10. Grazing, Land and Water
- 11. Animal Health
- 12. Route to Market
- 13. People and Operations
- 14. Regulation and Compliance
- 15. Unit Economics
- 16. Capital Expenditure
- 17. Financial Projections
- 18. Break-Even and Sensitivity
- 19. Risk Management
- 20. Implementation Timeline
- 21. Returns and Net Asset Value
- 22. Key Performance Indicators
- 23. Key Assumptions
- 24. Conclusion
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Stage Capital Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Debt Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Funding Application Checklist
- F. Appendix F: Glossary
|
Period |
Milestone |
|---|---|
|
Year 1, months 1–5 |
Stage 1 funding secured; grazing confirmed in writing; camp fenced, water point equipped, kraal and kidding pens built; 50 does and 2 bucks placed |
|
Year 1, months 5–12 |
Handling facility and store completed; kidding, mortality and dosing records begun; CIPC registration and tax compliance; two trader relationships established |
|
End Year 1 |
Gate 1: kid survival above 82%, doe mortality below 6%, twelve months of records, registration complete |
|
Year 2 |
Stage 2 drawn; second camp fenced and second water point equipped; rotational grazing established; 30 doelings retained |
|
End Year 2 |
Gate 2: kid survival above 85%, 1.50 kids weaned per doe, reviewed statements, clean repayment record |
|
Year 3 |
Stage 3 drawn via the Blended Finance Scheme; third and fourth camps, third water point, own transport; independent grazing assessment for 200 does |
|
End Year 3 |
Gate 3: kid survival above 87%, two years of statements, scorecard of 20 or more, grazing confirmed |
|
Year 4 |
Stage 4 drawn; handling and quarantine facility, water expanded; breeding stock sales channel established; break-even herd crossed |
|
End Year 4 |
Gate 4: cash EBITDA positive for a full year, breeding stock channel established, grazing secured for 300 does |
|
Year 5 |
Stage 5 drawn; camps extended to 300 does, fourth water point with solar pump; herder or supervisor appointed |
|
End Year 5 |
300 does; 426 goats sold; cash revenue R1.49m; debt service cover 1.26 times |
20.1 Critical dependencies
|
Dependency |
What it gates |
Management |
|---|---|---|
|
Grazing rights confirmed in writing |
Everything; the herd cannot exist without veld |
Lease or permission to occupy secured before Stage 1 funding is drawn |
|
Camps fenced before the herd expands |
Veld condition and therefore kid mortality |
Fencing in each stage is built before the animals it will carry |
|
Water points commissioned |
Usable camps; a camp without water cannot be grazed |
Each stage includes its water before its fencing is completed |
|
Twelve months of complete records |
Gate 1 and every application thereafter |
Recorded daily from the day the first doe arrives; cannot be reconstructed |
|
Two trader relationships |
Gate 1 and the price floor |
Built during Stage 1 while the first crop is growing out |
|
Reviewed financial statements |
Gate 2 and the SEDFA application |
Bookkeeper contracted in Stage 1, not in Stage 2 when they are needed |
|
Independent grazing assessment |
Gate 3 and the Blended Finance application |
Commissioned during Year 3, ahead of the Stage 4 herd |
|
Breeding stock channel established |
Gate 4 and 16% of Year 5 volume |
Requires three years of records; started in Stage 1 by recording |