Thaba Goats Business Plan — Grazing, Land and Water
Carrying capacity, grazing management, water provision and the land requirement as the herd scales toward 300 does.
Grazing, Land and Water
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- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. The South African Goat Market
- 3. Why the Informal Market Matters More Than the Abattoir
- 4. Seasonality
- 5. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 6. The Five-Stage Roadmap and Gates
- 7. The Funding Ladder
- 8. Herd and Reproduction
- 9. Kid Mortality: The Industry's Named Constraint
- 10. Grazing, Land and Water
- 11. Animal Health
- 12. Route to Market
- 13. People and Operations
- 14. Regulation and Compliance
- 15. Unit Economics
- 16. Capital Expenditure
- 17. Financial Projections
- 18. Break-Even and Sensitivity
- 19. Risk Management
- 20. Implementation Timeline
- 21. Returns and Net Asset Value
- 22. Key Performance Indicators
- 23. Key Assumptions
- 24. Conclusion
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Stage Capital Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Debt Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Funding Application Checklist
- F. Appendix F: Glossary
- 10.1 Carrying capacity
- 10.2 Rotation and water
- 10.3 Drought
10.1 Carrying capacity
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Breeding does at year end |
50 |
80 |
130 |
200 |
300 |
|
Total herd including followers |
Approximately 118 |
190 |
310 |
475 |
715 |
|
Large stock units, approximate |
24 |
38 |
62 |
95 |
143 |
|
Camps in rotation |
1 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
|
Water points |
1 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
|
Grazing confirmation required |
Stage 1 lease |
Stage 2 |
200 does, independent |
300 does |
Secured |
A breeding doe with followers is conventionally taken as approximately one fifth of a large stock unit. At 300 does the herd is roughly 143 large stock units, and the veld required depends entirely on the grazing capacity of the specific block, which in South African conditions ranges from under four hectares per large stock unit in the better sourveld to more than twenty in the arid west. That is why this plan states the requirement in stock units and requires an independent assessment rather than assuming a hectare figure.
10.2 Rotation and water
- Camps before does. The camp fencing at each stage is built before the herd that will use it, not after. A herd that arrives before its camp overgrazes the camp it is already in.
- Rotation from Stage 2. A single camp cannot be rested. The second camp at Stage 2 is what converts continuous grazing into rotational grazing, and it is the point at which veld condition becomes manageable rather than merely observable.
- Water is the binding constraint in the dry months. A goat drinks little but drinks daily, and a camp without water is a camp that cannot be used regardless of the grass standing in it. Four water points by Year 5, the last solar-pumped.
- Stocking rate below 85 per cent of assessed capacity. The margin exists because drought does not announce itself, and a herd stocked at capacity in a good year is overstocked in an average one.
10.3 Drought
Drought is the risk that removes the grazing and the herd in the same season, and it is the one risk in this plan against which capital provides no protection. The response is structural and is set out in Section 19: stocking below assessed capacity, a lick and supplementary feed budget that can be doubled, an established relationship with a trader who will take animals at short notice, and a clear rule about which animals go first.