Precision Coachworks Business Plan — How a Panel Shop Actually Makes Money

A panel shop sells floor positions through time. Throughput is capacity divided by cycle time, which is why days matter more than the hourly rate.

How a Panel Shop Actually Makes Money

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  • 4.1 The two constraints
  • 4.2 Why cycle time is the most valuable lever
  • 4.3 Where the days actually go
  • 4.4 Where the gross profit sits

4.1 The two constraints

Every vehicle must pass through the spray booth, which has a fixed spray-and-bake cycle. That sets an absolute ceiling. But a vehicle also occupies a floor position for the whole time it is in the shop — waiting for assessment, waiting for parts, in strip, in panel, in prep, in paint, in assembly, in quality control. Floor positions divided by cycle time gives a second ceiling, and in most shops it is the lower of the two.

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Spray booths

1

1

2

2

2

Booth capacity at 2.4 cycles a day, 245 days

588

588

1 176

1 176

1 176

Floor positions

16

20

32

36

38

Key-to-key cycle time, days

14.0

12.0

10.5

9.5

9.0

Floor capacity, positions ÷ cycle time

280

408

747

928

1 034

Binding constraint

Floor

Floor

Floor

Floor

Floor

Utilisation

48%

66%

70%

77%

81%

Vehicles repaired

134

270

523

715

838

Floor positions and cycle time
Figure 7. Floor positions and cycle time.

Booth capacity is 2 booths times 2.4 cycles a day times 245 days. Floor capacity is positions divided by cycle time. Throughput is the lower of the two, reduced by utilisation. In every year of this plan the floor is the binding constraint, which is why cycle time matters more than booth investment.

4.2 Why cycle time is the most valuable lever

Year 5 EBITDA against key-to-key cycle time
Figure 8. Year 5 EBITDA against key-to-key cycle time.
Where the binding constraint changes
Figure 9. Where the binding constraint changes.

Cycle time, days

Vehicles at Year 5 capacity

Year 5 EBITDA (R)

Binding constraint

13.0

580

538 665

Floor

12.0

629

1 215 259

Floor

11.0

685

1 988 509

Floor

10.0

754

2 941 265

Floor

9.5

794

3 493 587

Floor

9.0

838

4 101 140

Floor

8.5

887

4 777 734

Floor

8.0

943

5 550 985

Spray booth

7.5

953

5 689 065

Spray booth

The plan assumes nine working days. The relationship flattens below about eight and a half days because the spray booth then becomes the binding constraint and further reductions in floor time cannot be converted into throughput. That is the single most important operating fact in this document: capital spent on cycle time below 8.5 days buys nothing, and capital spent on a third booth above 8.5 days buys nothing either.

4.3 Where the days actually go

Cycle time is not primarily a labour problem. The days that accumulate in a South African panel shop are mostly waiting: waiting for the insurer’s assessment, waiting for authorisation of supplementary work discovered during strip, and waiting for parts. Each of those is an administrative process that can be compressed by systems and relationships rather than by capital.

Lever

Why it works

Strip and assess early

Stripping the vehicle before assessment surfaces hidden damage in the first estimate rather than as a supplementary claim later, which is the single largest source of delay

Order parts on authorisation, not on arrival

Parts lead time runs in parallel with disassembly rather than after it

Hold a stocked consumables and fastener line

A vehicle waiting three days for a clip occupies a floor position worth more than the clip

Measure key-to-key by stage

A single average conceals where the days are lost. Insurers already measure this; the shop should measure it more precisely than the insurer does

4.4 Where the gross profit sits

Year 5 revenue and gross profit by line
Figure 10. Year 5 revenue and gross profit by line.

Year 5

Revenue (R)

Share of invoice

Gross margin

Gross profit (R)

Share of gross profit

Labour

9 379 000

32.0%

63%

5 908 770

51.1%

Paint and materials

4 689 000

16.0%

46%

2 156 940

18.6%

Parts

15 241 000

52.0%

23%

3 505 430

30.3%

Total

29 309 000

100.0%

39.5%

11 571 000

100.0%

The parts line is a pass-through with a controlled margin, and its main contribution is to cycle time when it is managed well and to delay when it is not. A vehicle waiting three days for a clip occupies a floor position worth more than the clip — which is why the parts controller and the stocked consumables line appear in the plan from Year 2, and why parts is treated as a cycle-time function rather than a revenue function.