Africa Green Energy Holdings — Projected Balance Sheet

The projected balance sheet over the plan horizon — the asset base, debt and equity, working capital and the evolving capital structure.

Africa Green Energy Holdings Business PlanSection 15 › Projected Balance Sheet

Section 15 · Business Plan

Projected Balance Sheet

The projected balance sheet over the plan horizon — the asset base, debt and equity, working capital and the evolving capital structure.

The consolidated balance sheet below reflects AGEH’s growth from a
development-stage holding company in FY2027 through to a mature
renewable platform with R7.8 billion in net assets by FY2036. The
balance sheet illustrates the characteristic project-finance pattern:
PP&E peaks during construction, debt amortises progressively, and
equity compounds via retained earnings net of distributions.

15.1 Consolidated Balance Sheet (FY2027-FY2031)

R million FY2027 FY2028 FY2029 FY2030 FY2031
ASSETS
Cash & equivalents 120 385 445 520 595
Trade receivables 55 295 525 550
Inventory & spares 8 32 55 57
DSRA & reserve accounts 180 320 385 395
Total Current Assets 120 628 1,092 1,485 1,597
Property, plant & equipment 1,250 5,840 8,575 8,755 8,150
Capitalised development costs 180 275 350 335 320
Right-of-use assets (leases) 85 165 245 240
Total Non-Current Assets 1,430 6,200 9,090 9,335 8,710
TOTAL ASSETS 1,550 6,828 10,182 10,820 10,307
LIABILITIES
Trade payables 15 45 115 175 180
Current portion of debt 245 395 415
Income tax payable 65
Total Current Liabilities 15 45 360 570 660
IFC senior debt 2,250 3,000 2,755 2,560
DFI co-financing 1,500 2,000 1,840 1,710
Commercial bank debt 1,500 2,000 1,825 1,675
IFC climate finance 260 350 350 350
Long-term lease liabilities 85 165 245 240
Total Non-Current Liabilities 5,595 7,515 7,015 6,535
TOTAL LIABILITIES 15 5,640 7,875 7,585 7,195
EQUITY
Share capital 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500
Retained earnings / (deficit) 35 (312) 807 1,735 1,612
Total Equity 1,535 1,188 2,307 3,235 3,112
TOTAL LIAB. & EQUITY 1,550 6,828 10,182 10,820 10,307

Table 15.1 — Projected Consolidated Balance Sheet
(FY2027-FY2031), ZAR millions

15.2 Consolidated Balance Sheet (FY2032-FY2036)

R million FY2032 FY2033 FY2034 FY2035 FY2036
ASSETS
Cash & equivalents 655 705 745 780 820
Trade receivables 575 600 627 654 682
Inventory & spares 60 62 65 68 71
DSRA & reserve accounts 405 415 425 435 445
Total Current Assets 1,695 1,782 1,862 1,937 2,018
Property, plant & equipment 7,540 6,930 6,320 5,720 5,125
Capitalised development costs 305 290 275 260 245
Right-of-use assets (leases) 235 230 225 220 215
Total Non-Current Assets 8,080 7,450 6,820 6,200 5,585
TOTAL ASSETS 9,775 9,232 8,682 8,137 7,603
LIABILITIES
Trade payables 188 196 204 213 222
Current portion of debt 440 470 505 545 590
Income tax payable 75 105 145 175 195
Total Current Liabilities 703 771 854 933 1,007
IFC senior debt 2,350 2,115 1,855 1,565 1,245
DFI co-financing 1,570 1,415 1,245 1,055 845
Commercial bank debt 1,510 1,330 1,135 925 700
IFC climate finance 350 350 350 350 350
Long-term lease liabilities 235 230 225 220 215
Total Non-Current Liabilities 6,015 5,440 4,810 4,115 3,355
TOTAL LIABILITIES 6,718 6,211 5,664 5,048 4,362
EQUITY
Share capital 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500
Retained earnings 1,557 1,521 1,518 1,589 1,741
Total Equity 3,057 3,021 3,018 3,089 3,241
TOTAL LIAB. & EQUITY 9,775 9,232 8,682 8,137 7,603

Table 15.2 — Projected Consolidated Balance Sheet
(FY2032-FY2036), ZAR millions

15.3 Balance Sheet Commentary

Asset structure: Property, Plant & Equipment peaks at R8,755
million in FY2030 (full COD) and declines thereafter at depreciation
rate of c.R625 million per annum. Reserve accounts maintain a stable
R400-445 million balance over the projection horizon, satisfying lender
DSRA, MRA and BESS augmentation requirements.

Debt amortisation profile: Total senior debt declines from a peak of
R7,350 million at financial close to R3,140 million by FY2036,
reflecting the sculpted amortisation schedule designed to maintain DSCRs
above 1.30x throughout. By the end of the projection period,
debt-to-equity ratio falls to 1.35x (from 2.5x at COD), positioning the
platform for either refinancing optimisation or premium-multiple
exit.

Equity build: Retained earnings track the dividend distribution
policy. Cumulative dividends paid over FY2030-FY2036 total approximately
R4.85 billion, equating to a cumulative cash-on-cash return to sponsors
of 3.23x prior to terminal value monetisation. The retained earnings dip
in FY2031-FY2034 reflects accelerated distributions following the
lock-up release; balance sheet equity stabilises around R3.0-3.2 billion
as the platform reaches maturity.

Confidential — this business plan is provided to prospective investors and lenders for evaluation purposes only and may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of Africa Green Energy Holdings (Pty) Ltd.