The balance sheet below ties in every year, total assets equal total equity and liabilities, a consistency enforced by assertion in the underlying model. It reflects the asset profile of a campus-based education group: a large property, plant and equipment base (academic and boarding buildings, sports and arts facilities, ICT and equipment), modest working capital, and a cash buffer maintained through the build and ramp.
|
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Assets |
|||||
|
Net property, plant & equipment |
470 |
627 |
709 |
711 |
700 |
|
Working capital |
8 |
12 |
17 |
22 |
29 |
|
Cash & equivalents |
326 |
176 |
78 |
64 |
65 |
|
Total assets |
803 |
815 |
803 |
797 |
795 |
|
Equity & liabilities |
|||||
|
Share capital |
500 |
500 |
500 |
500 |
500 |
|
Retained earnings |
-47 |
-95 |
-127 |
-133 |
-105 |
|
Total equity |
453 |
405 |
373 |
367 |
395 |
|
Debt (closing) |
350 |
410 |
430 |
430 |
400 |
|
Total equity & liabilities |
803 |
815 |
803 |
797 |
795 |
Asset backing and collateral cover
The balance sheet is anchored by a large, tangible and appreciating asset base, a 55-hectare campus with academic and boarding buildings, sports and arts facilities, and the underlying land, that a lender can secure against. This is high-quality collateral: education real estate is scarce, long-life and appreciating, and its replacement cost together with the land would substantially exceed the debt. Retained earnings erode through the loss-making ramp years (total equity dips from about R453m to R367m by Year 4) before rebuilding as the business turns profitable, the balance-sheet signature of a J-curve build, and a reason the equity cushion and contingency matter.
Leverage profile
Conventional leverage ratios are of limited use during the ramp because EBITDA is negative or thin, net debt to EBITDA is not meaningful in the early years. What matters instead is absolute debt against the asset base and the equity cushion: debt peaks at R430m against a campus worth over R700m net of depreciation, comfortable asset cover. As EBITDA scales toward maturity, leverage normalises rapidly and the business deleverages from operating cash.