Karoo Crown Beef Group — Projected Cash Flow Statement

The projected cash flow statement over the plan horizon — operating, investing and financing cash flows, the capital-drawdown profile and the free cash flow to equity.

Karoo Crown Beef Group Business PlanSection 16 › Projected Cash Flow Statement

Section 16 · Business Plan

Projected Cash Flow Statement

The projected cash flow statement over the plan horizon — operating, investing and financing cash flows, the capital-drawdown profile and the free cash flow to equity.

The projected cash flow statement below uses the indirect method,
reconciling net profit after tax to net cash flow. All values are in ZAR
millions. Year 1 cash flow reflects the deployment of all funding
tranches and the bulk of capital expenditure; net of capex, the Group
ends Year 1 with ZAR 86m of cash as a working-capital buffer for the
ramp-up period.

Figure 16.
Figure 16. Cash flow waterfall — Year 3 illustrative (ZAR millions)
Cash Flow (ZAR millions) Y1 2026 Y2 2027 Y3 2028 Y4 2029 Y5 2030
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net profit after tax (134) (17) 79 169 248
Add: Depreciation & amortisation 58 64 68 72 75
Add: Finance costs (net) 38 42 42 40 36
Add: Tax expense (non-cash portion) 0 0 13 31 43
Working capital movements
(Increase) in inventory (68) (30) (44) (34) (22)
(Increase) in trade receivables (90) (72) (80) (64) (48)
Increase in trade payables 96 72 76 70 54
Net cash from operating activities (100) 59 154 284 386
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Capital expenditure (initial build) (750) (50) 0 0 0
Maintenance capex 0 (8) (35) (47) (56)
Working-capital advances to producers (12) (8) (6) (4) (2)
Net cash from investing activities (762) (66) (41) (51) (58)
FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Equity capital contributions 435 0 0 0 0
Senior debt drawn 380 0 0 0 0
Mezzanine drawn 95 0 0 0 0
Grants & DTIC incentives 49 0 0 0 0
Senior debt repayments 0 (38) (38) (57) (58)
Mezzanine PIK / cash interest (14) (14) (14) (33) (30)
Finance costs paid (38) (42) (42) (40) (36)
Dividends paid 0 0 0 (20) (30)
Net cash from financing activities 907 (94) (94) (150) (154)
Net change in cash 45 (101) 19 83 174
Cash, beginning of year 0 86 92 138 232
Cash, end of year 86 92 138 232 412

Free cash flow (operating cash flow less maintenance capex) turns
positive in Year 2 and accumulates to a cumulative total of ZAR 612m
over Years 2-5. This cash generation comfortably supports the senior
debt amortisation schedule (which totals ZAR 191m of principal repayment
over the same period) and provides the firepower for initial dividend
distribution from Year 4 onwards while building strategic balance-sheet
reserves for Phase II.

Confidential — this business plan is provided to prospective investors and lenders for evaluation purposes only and may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of Karoo Crown Beef Group (Pty) Ltd.