NexusGrainFresh Global Foods Business Plan — Projected Balance Sheet

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Section 16 · 17 of 21

Projected Balance Sheet

The balance sheet below ties in every year, total assets equal total equity and liabilities, a consistency enforced by assertion in the underlying model. It reflects the asset profile of an integrated agro-processing group: a large plant, milling, storage and logistics base; working capital that scales with commodity inventory and trading volumes; and a cash buffer maintained through the build.

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Assets

Net property, plant & equipment

529

1,100

1,508

1,502

1,440

Working capital

85

160

290

440

620

Cash & equivalents

793

493

99

15

20

Total assets

1,407

1,753

1,897

1,957

2,080

Equity & liabilities

Share capital

830

830

830

830

830

Retained earnings

17

43

137

377

800

Total equity

847

873

967

1,207

1,630

Senior debt

560

880

930

750

450

Total equity & liabilities

1,407

1,753

1,897

1,957

2,080

Figure 20. Balance sheet composition — total assets by category

Asset backing and collateral cover

The balance sheet is anchored by a tangible asset base, processing plants, mills, storage and warehousing, seed-coating and spice lines, and export-logistics infrastructure, that grows to roughly R1.4 billion net of depreciation, alongside working capital that itself represents realisable commodity inventory and receivables. For a lender this matters: the debt is secured against real, cash-generating industrial assets plus liquid working-capital collateral, and the deleveraging profile is rapid. Working capital scales at about 10% of revenue net of payables, and the cash balance remains positive throughout, though tight in the peak-build years, which is precisely why the seasonal revolver is a structural requirement.

Leverage profile

Net debt to EBITDA peaks at approximately 2.0x in the Year-2–3 build phase, a comfortable level for an asset-backed agro-processor, before deleveraging steadily to about 0.4x by Year 5 as EBITDA scales and debt amortises. The equity-first drawdown keeps Year-1 net debt negative, and the moderate peak leverage leaves ample covenant headroom.

Figure 21. Deleveraging profile — net debt / EBITDA