NovaBank SA — Projected Balance Sheet

The projected five-year balance sheet — loans and advances, deposits, capital, and the asset and liability structure of the bank.

NovaBank SA Business PlanSection 13 › Projected Balance Sheet

Section 13 · Business Plan

Projected Balance Sheet

The projected five-year balance sheet — loans and advances, deposits, capital, and the asset and liability structure of the bank.

The projected balance sheet illustrates the deliberate build-up of
NovaBank’s loan book, the rapid growth of customer deposits as a primary
funding source, and the disciplined management of capital ratios. Total
assets grow from ZAR 1.92 billion at end of Year 1 to ZAR 35.4 billion
by end of Year 5.

13.1 Detailed Balance Sheet

ZAR millions Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
ASSETS
Cash & Balances with SARB 320 780 1,420 2,180 2,950
Investment Securities (HQLA) 415 920 1,750 2,640 3,560
Loans & Advances – Gross 820 3,450 8,200 14,800 22,500
Less: Expected Credit Loss (48) (245) (680) (1,180) (1,650)
Net Loans & Advances 772 3,205 7,520 13,620 20,850
Property, Plant & Equipment 180 320 510 720 920
Intangible Assets (Software) 210 350 510 660 790
Other Assets 23 85 165 240 330
TOTAL ASSETS 1,920 5,660 11,875 20,060 29,400
LIABILITIES
Customer Deposits 590 2,830 7,360 14,040 22,300
Wholesale & Interbank Funding 420 1,250 2,140 3,010 3,520
Subordinated Debt (Tier 2) 200 565 950 1,200 1,470
Other Liabilities 85 210 415 650 920
TOTAL LIABILITIES 1,295 4,855 10,865 18,900 28,210
EQUITY
Share Capital & Premium 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,500
Tranche 2 Equity Issuance 1,300 1,300 1,300 1,300
Retained Earnings / (Loss) (485) (695) (410) 770 3,110
Other Reserves 10 55 120 210 310
TOTAL EQUITY 1,025 2,160 2,510 3,780 6,220
TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY 2,320 7,015 13,375 22,680 34,430

Table 13.1 — Projected Balance Sheet, Years 1–5 (ZAR million).

13.2 Loan Book Build & Credit Quality

Figure 13.1
Figure 13.1 — Loan book build-up and Non-Performing Loan ratio trajectory.

The loan book grows from R820 million in Year 1 to R22.5 billion by
Year 5. NPL ratio peaks at 7.4% in Year 3 — typical of a young portfolio
of unsecured retail loans — before declining to 6.4% by Year 5 as
customer cohorts mature, behavioural data accumulates, and the credit
scorecard is recalibrated. ECL coverage of NPLs is maintained above 110%
throughout the planning period.

13.3 Funding Mix Evolution

Figure 13.2
Figure 13.2 — Liability and funding mix evolution, Years 1–5 (% of total funding).

Customer deposits grow from 35% of total funding in Year 1 to 76% by
Year 5, reducing reliance on wholesale funding from 25% to 12%. This
funding structure is consistent with the deposit franchise of a
successful retail bank and supports a strong Net Stable Funding Ratio
(NSFR) above 105%.

Confidential — this business plan is provided to prospective investors and lenders for evaluation purposes only and may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of NovaBank SA (Pty) Ltd.