The register expands the summary in the Risk Analysis section, scoring each risk on likelihood and impact and setting out the primary mitigation. Residual risk reflects the position after mitigation.
|
Risk |
Likelihood |
Impact |
Primary mitigation |
Residual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Harmful algal bloom / red tide |
Medium |
High |
Multi-site dispersion; oxygenation; insurance; stock-in-water caps |
Medium |
|
Disease outbreak (e.g. abalone virus) |
Medium |
High |
Biosecurity zoning; SPF broodstock; quarantine; surveillance |
Medium |
|
Grid instability / load-shedding |
High |
Medium |
Solar + battery; backup generation; pumped-flow redundancy |
Low |
|
Export price softening (China luxury) |
Medium |
High |
Market diversification; dried-product optionality; forward cover |
Medium |
|
Poaching / illegal market pressure |
High |
Medium |
Traceability; CITES compliance; premium certified positioning |
Medium |
|
Construction cost/schedule overrun |
Medium |
Medium |
Phased EPC; contingency; fixed-price contracts |
Low |
|
Funding shortfall / drawdown delay |
Medium |
High |
Staged milestones; interest-service reserve; equity buffer |
Medium |
|
FX volatility (ZAR/USD) |
High |
Medium |
Natural hedge (USD revenue); forward contracts; ECIC cover |
Low |
|
Regulatory / permitting delay |
Medium |
Medium |
Early DFFE engagement; environmental authorisations upfront |
Low |
|
Key-person / skills dependency |
Medium |
Medium |
Abagold-model hires; training academy; succession planning |
Low |