The implementation programme spans 60 months from financial close to full steady-state capacity and exit readiness. The roadmap sequences activities to respect the two hard constraints that govern aquaculture project delivery: the long lead time to commission marine infrastructure and life-support systems, and the multi-year biological cycle between spat and harvestable abalone. Revenue-generating divisions (feed, processing for third-party product) are brought online early to generate cash while the grow-out biomass matures.
Critical path & dependencies
The critical path runs through marine infrastructure and seawater intake, which gates hatchery commissioning, which in turn gates grow-out stocking and the biological clock to first harvest. Delays on the marine-infrastructure line therefore cascade directly into first-revenue timing. The following milestones and dependencies are the ones lenders should monitor most closely:
|
Phase |
Milestone |
Timing |
Key dependency |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Financial close & first drawdown |
Month 0–3 |
Funding commitments, security |
|
1 |
Land acquisition & EIA approvals |
Month 1–5 |
Regulatory / environmental sign-off |
|
2 |
Marine infrastructure & seawater intake |
Month 3–12 |
Financial close (critical path) |
|
2 |
Hatchery construction & broodstock |
Month 4–11 |
Seawater systems |
|
3 |
Grow-out Phase 1 (RAS) stocking |
Month 6–16 |
Hatchery spat availability |
|
3 |
Feed & processing plants commissioned |
Month 8–18 |
Infrastructure, certification |
|
4 |
First commercial harvest & exports |
Month 18–24 |
Biological cycle, certification |
|
4 |
Full 850t run-rate |
Month 36–48 |
Phase 2 expansion, cohort maturity |
|
5 |
Exit readiness / JSE preparation |
Month 48–60 |
Steady-state earnings, governance |
Analyst flagFirst revenue is gated by biology, not by construction.
Even flawless construction cannot compress the multi-year grow-out cycle. This is why Years 1–2 are cash-negative and why the feed and processing divisions, which can generate third-party revenue from an earlier date, are commissioned ahead of the grow-out harvest. Lenders should structure the principal-repayment grace period and interest reserve around the Month 18–24 first-harvest milestone.
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