Helios Nexus Energy — Executive Summary

The investment highlights, the summary metrics and the transaction at a glance for Helios Nexus's vertically-integrated renewable energy, storage and trading platform.

Helios Nexus Energy Business PlanSection 1 › Executive Summary

Section 1 · Business Plan

Executive Summary

The investment highlights, the summary metrics and the transaction at a glance for Helios Nexus’s vertically-integrated renewable energy, storage and trading platform.

Helios Nexus Energy Holdings (Pty) Ltd is a vertically-integrated
renewable energy infrastructure platform aiming to become Southern
Africa’s largest independent producer, aggregator and trader of
renewable electricity. Unlike a traditional independent power producer
(IPP) focused solely on generation, Helios Nexus integrates five
high-growth activities into a single platform: utility-scale solar and
wind generation, battery energy storage, corporate power trading, energy
wheeling, and environmental-commodity markets (carbon credits and
renewable-energy certificates). This integration is designed to produce
diversified revenues, resilience across the value chain, and a scale and
sophistication attractive to infrastructure funds, pension funds,
sovereign wealth funds and development finance institutions.

The Company will develop a diversified portfolio targeting, by Year
10, over 6 GW of generation capacity (3 GW solar, 3 GW wind), 1.5 GW of
battery storage, and 14 TWh of annual electricity sales, at a total
capital cost of R28.8 billion. At maturity the platform generates
approximately R30.8 billion of annual revenue and R13.4 billion of
EBITDA, positioned at the intersection of climate finance, energy
security and industrial growth — the three forces reshaping Africa’s
power sector.

1.1 Investment highlights

  • Exceptional market timing. Southern Africa faces
    structural electricity shortages while transitioning to low-carbon
    systems; South Africa consumes over 200 TWh annually, installed
    renewable capacity reached 18.2 GW in 2025, and demand from mining,
    industry, data centres and telecoms is driving a multi-year
    private-procurement boom.
  • Multiple, diversified revenue streams. Beyond
    generation, the platform earns from trading, wheeling, capacity and
    grid-balancing services, carbon credits and renewable-energy
    certificates — reducing dependence on any single tariff or counterparty
    and capturing margin across the value chain.
  • Long-term contracted revenue. A target of 80%
    contracted revenue on 10–15 year average terms underpins predictable
    cash flows, complemented by higher-margin merchant and
    environmental-market upside.
  • Alignment with ESG capital. The platform aligns
    directly with climate-finance mandates, green bonds, energy-transition
    funds, DFIs and sustainability-linked financing — the deepest and
    fastest-growing pools of infrastructure capital.
  • Scale and exit optionality. A diversified,
    contracted, multi-gigawatt platform is a natural target for
    infrastructure-fund acquisition, strategic sale or listing, with a
    projected enterprise value well above R120 billion by Year 10.
Independent analyst view — read before the
financials

This Plan preserves the sponsor’s headline revenue, EBITDA and
capital programme exactly, but independently re-derives everything below
EBITDA and reaches four candid conclusions. First, net profit is lower
than the sponsor states: after full depreciation and interest,
re-derived Year-10 NPAT is about R8.3bn versus the sponsor’s R9.6bn.
Second, the blended EBITDA margin realistically plateaus near 44–47%,
not the 70%+ of a pure generation IPP, because the trading and wheeling
divisions are high-revenue, low-margin pass-through businesses — a
feature, not a flaw, but one that materially shapes valuation and must
be understood. Third, the returns are strong and robust: even at a
conservative 9x EBITDA exit (versus the sponsor’s 11x), the equity IRR
is about 36% at a ~8.8x multiple, so the investment does not depend on
an aggressive multiple. Fourth, two binding constraints govern delivery
— grid-connection capacity (the sector-wide limit on new build) and the
still-forming electricity-trading regulatory framework (NERSA’s Trading
Rules and access to Eskom’s Virtual Wheeling Platform) — both of which
the Plan makes central rather than glossing over.

Figure 1
Figure 1 — Revenue and EBITDA build-up across five divisions (R m)

1.2 Summary metrics

Metric Y3 Y5 Y7 Y9 Y10
Revenue (R m) 2,100 7,900 16,500 25,600 30,800
EBITDA (R m) 820 3,600 7,700 11,600 13,400
EBITDA margin (%) 39.0 45.6 46.7 45.3 43.5
Re-derived NPAT (R m) 140 1,556 4,255 7,000 8,271
DSCR (x) 1.18 2.43 2.94 3.54 4.37

The opportunity. Helios Nexus offers infrastructure
and equity investors diversified exposure to Southern Africa’s energy
transition — generation, storage, trading and environmental markets in
one platform — with contracted cash flows, ESG alignment and a credible
path to a projected enterprise value of R120–147 billion by Year 10. The
sections that follow build the case with full market, competitive,
operational and financial analysis, and disclose the grid,
trading-regulation, margin and exit-multiple dependencies on which the
investment turns.

1.3 Transaction at a glance

Parameter Detail
Opportunity Vertically-integrated 6 GW generation + 1.5 GW storage + trading platform
Capital programme R28.8bn over 10 years (headline R24.8bn reconciled in §8)
Funding stack ~R17.8bn equity/quasi-equity + R8.0bn senior debt + R3.0bn green bond
Steady-state revenue / EBITDA R30.8bn / R13.4bn (~44%) at Year 10
Re-derived returns (9x exit) Project IRR 39.7% · equity IRR 36.3% · 8.8x
Sponsor returns (11x exit) Equity IRR 39.4% · 10.5x (validates sponsor 32–36%/8.6x)
Binding constraints Grid-connection capacity; electricity-trading regulation
Target funders Infrastructure & pension funds, sovereign wealth, DFIs, green-bond investors
Exit Infrastructure-fund sale / strategic / listing (Years 9–10)

The transaction offers diversified, ESG-aligned exposure to Southern
Africa’s energy transition — generation, storage, trading and
environmental markets in one platform — with contracted cash flows and
tangible asset backing. Its returns are governed by grid access,
delivery of the build, and the trading-regulation pathway, which the
Plan makes central.

Confidential — this business plan is provided to prospective investors and lenders for evaluation purposes only and may not be reproduced or distributed without the written consent of Helios Nexus Energy Holdings (Pty) Ltd.