Kasi Kicks Business Plan — Implementation Roadmap

The phases from first store to four, warehouse and planning build, dependencies, and the gate at each stage.

Implementation Roadmap

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  • 12.1 Development programme
  • 12.2 Critical dependencies
  • 12.3 Conditions precedent to drawdown
  • 12.4 What each phase costs and what is recoverable
Implementation roadmap — sign the brand agreements before any lease
Figure 24. Implementation roadmap — sign the brand agreements before any lease.

12.1 Development programme

Phase

Months

Activities

Gate — do not proceed without

1. Brand accounts

1 to 5

Authorised retailer applications to the major brands; store concept presentation and account assessment; appoint the buyer and merchandise planner

Three signed brand agreements, with indicative allocation, before any lease

2. Sites and the first buy

5 to 12

Secure the two launch sites and negotiate turnover clauses; fit out store one and the central warehouse; build the merchandise planning system with a size curve by style; commit the first seasonal buy to the sell-through curve

Opening stock received; the size curve verified style by style against the buy

3. Trade and measure

12 to 22

Open store one and measure density and sell-through by size; fit out and open store two; build the e-commerce platform and integrate the stock file

Trading density above R60 000 per m²; full-price sell-through above 65%

4. Add channel and store

Years 2 to 3

Launch online and introduce click and collect; open store three once forward density supports it

Debt service cover above 1.30x; stock cover under 90 days

5. Reach maturity

Years 4 to 5

Open store four and extend the stock facility as the range grows; drive online to 18% of units and hold markdown below 27% of units

49 239 pairs a year at a trading density of R83 358 per m²

12.2 Critical dependencies

Dependency

What it gates

Why it cannot be accelerated

Three signed brand agreements

Everything

The range is granted, not bought. A store without allocation has nothing to sell

The buyer and merchandise planner

The size curve and the allocation relationships

Both sit with one person, and both determine the margin from the first buy onward

Two strong mall sites

Trading density

Break-even is R33 387 per m² against a mature R83 358; a merely acceptable site does not clear the central cost

Merchandise planning system with size reporting

The 20.5% size-curve advantage

The curve cannot be managed before sell-through by size can be measured

Opening stock committed to the curve

The first season’s margin

Seasonal buys are committed months ahead at the retailer’s risk and cannot be revised

An accurate stock file

The online channel

Selling online from an inaccurate file strands inventory and disappoints customers; online waits for Year 2

The R6 500 000 stock facility committed at drawdown

Trading through the growth years

Stock exceeds the facility from Year 4 and the balance comes from retained cash

Two seasons of sell-through history

Improved allocation

The brands allocate on history. It cannot be bought, only earned

12.3 Conditions precedent to drawdown

12.4 What each phase costs and what is recoverable

Phase

Cash committed

Cumulative

What is recoverable if the venture stops here

1. Brand accounts

R720 000

R720 000

Nothing tangible. This phase buys three signed agreements and a buyer’s salary, and the agreements do not transfer

2. Sites and the first buy

R9 890 000

R10 610 000

The opening stock is realisable through the trade at a discount; the fit-out in a leased mall unit is not

3. Trade and measure

R3 480 000

R14 090 000

Store two’s fit-out and a second stock tranche. This is the point at which the chain becomes a commitment

4. Add channel and store

R1 950 000

R16 040 000

Store three’s fit-out against a diary of proven density; the e-commerce build has little resale value

5. Reach maturity

Funded from cash flow

R16 130 000

A four-store chain with brand accounts, sell-through history and R9 670 100 of realisable stock