Mainstreet Junction Business Plan — Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
Consolidated five-year summary: litres, revenue by stream, gross margin, EBITDA, profit after tax and closing cash.
Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
Jump to section
- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. How Fuel Retail Economics Actually Work
- 3. The Business and Its Revenue Streams
- 4. Market and Site Analysis
- 5. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 6. Regulatory Pathway and Licensing
- 7. Operations Plan
- 8. Management and Organisation
- 9. Capital Requirement and Funding Structure
- 10. Financial Projections
- 11. Break-Even Analysis
- 12. Debt Service and Working Capital
- 13. Investment Returns
- 14. Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
- 15. Risk Management
- 16. Implementation Timeline
- 17. Exit Options for Investors
- 18. Key Performance Indicators
- 19. Key Assumptions
- 20. Conclusion
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Capital and Depreciation Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Funding and Debt Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Glossary
|
R’000 unless stated |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Throughput, litres a month |
340 000 |
400 000 |
440 000 |
464 900 |
480 000 |
|
Average pump price, R a litre |
25.12 |
26.38 |
27.70 |
29.08 |
30.54 |
|
Blended margin, R a litre |
2.814 |
2.955 |
3.102 |
3.258 |
3.420 |
|
Fuel revenue |
102 506 |
126 624 |
146 252 |
162 290 |
175 901 |
|
Shop revenue |
16 200 |
20 072 |
23 604 |
26 767 |
29 792 |
|
Car wash, services and QSR |
4 740 |
5 426 |
6 185 |
7 024 |
7 950 |
|
Total revenue |
123 446 |
152 123 |
176 041 |
196 081 |
213 643 |
|
Gross profit |
18 543 |
22 631 |
26 160 |
29 224 |
32 020 |
|
Gross margin |
15.0% |
14.9% |
14.9% |
14.9% |
15.0% |
|
Non-fuel share of gross profit |
38% |
37% |
37% |
38% |
39% |
|
Operating costs |
(13 219) |
(14 722) |
(15 741) |
(16 831) |
(17 997) |
|
EBITDA |
5 324 |
7 909 |
10 418 |
12 393 |
14 023 |
|
EBITDA margin |
4.3% |
5.2% |
5.9% |
6.3% |
6.6% |
|
Depreciation |
(2 133) |
(2 133) |
(2 133) |
(2 133) |
(2 133) |
|
Interest |
(3 510) |
(3 408) |
(3 100) |
(2 757) |
(2 375) |
|
Taxation |
— |
(553) |
(1 400) |
(2 026) |
(2 569) |
|
Profit / (loss) after tax |
(319) |
1 815 |
3 785 |
5 477 |
6 946 |
|
Net margin |
-0.3% |
1.2% |
2.1% |
2.8% |
3.3% |
|
Operating cash flow after tax |
6 602 |
6 986 |
8 698 |
10 106 |
11 231 |
|
Debt service |
4 483 |
6 107 |
6 107 |
6 107 |
6 107 |
|
Debt service cover |
1.19x |
1.29x |
1.71x |
2.03x |
2.30x |
|
Free cash flow to equity |
2 119 |
879 |
2 591 |
3 999 |
5 123 |
|
Closing cash |
3 519 |
4 398 |
5 096 |
6 357 |
8 007 |
|
Land, buildings and equipment |
38 367 |
36 233 |
34 100 |
31 967 |
29 833 |
|
Total assets |
45 415 |
44 990 |
44 252 |
43 965 |
44 000 |
|
Debt outstanding |
29 027 |
26 327 |
23 320 |
19 970 |
16 237 |
|
Shareholders’ funds |
14 181 |
15 995 |
17 888 |
20 626 |
24 099 |
|
Gearing |
67.2% |
62.2% |
56.6% |
49.2% |
40.3% |
|
Cash break-even, litres a month |
317 638 |
350 601 |
324 472 |
303 267 |
284 956 |
|
Headroom over cash break-even |
6.6% |
12.3% |
26.3% |
34.8% |
40.6% |