SA Premier Poultry Business Plan — Scale and Business Model

Why scale is the entry condition, the split between 82% own-account processing and contract slaughter, and what one shift versus two changes.

Scale and Business Model

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  • 2.1 The throughput classification
  • 2.2 Why scale decides viability
  • 2.3 Own-account processing against contract slaughter
  • 2.4 The product mix

2.1 The throughput classification

Grade

Daily throughput

What it implies

Rural abattoir

Up to 50 birds a day

Farm-scale, minimal infrastructure, local sale only

Low throughput

Up to 2 000 birds a day

Small commercial facility; still requires full hygiene and inspection systems

High throughput

Above 2 000 birds a day

Full mechanised line, continuous inspection presence, higher infrastructure standard

2.2 Why scale decides viability

Fixed cost per bird at four plant sizes
Figure 6. Fixed cost per bird at four plant sizes.

Plant configuration

Birds a day

Capital

Fixed cost per bird

EBITDA at capacity

Break-even a day

Low throughput, under 2 000 a day

1 950

R22m

R18.04

(1 352 520)

2 296

Small high throughput

4 000

R46m

R14.03

1 315 800

3 663

This plan, single shift

8 000

R75m

R9.70

11 464 800

5 065

This plan, double shift

14 000

R89m

R6.85

30 237 900

6 260

Fixed cost per bird falls from R18.04 at low throughput to R6.85 on a double shift. Since contribution per bird is only R18.88, that difference is the difference between a loss and a business. This is why the plan does not offer a smaller, cheaper version: there isn’t one that works.

2.3 Own-account processing against contract slaughter

Own-account processing

Contract (toll) slaughter

What happens

The plant buys live birds and sells the products

The customer owns the birds; the plant charges a fee

Revenue per bird

R75.63

R9.60

Contribution per bird

R18.88

R2.68

Working capital

High: live birds paid before product is sold

Minimal: no stock owned

Price risk

Full exposure on both live and product prices

None; the fee is contracted

Role in this plan

82% of throughput at maturity

Fills the line while the customer base is built

Own-account processing against contract slaughter
Figure 7. Own-account processing against contract slaughter.

The own-account share rises from 62 per cent of birds processed in Year 1 to 82 per cent at maturity, passing through 78 per cent in Year 3 when the single shift reaches capacity. Contract slaughter is the ramp mechanism: it fills the line in the years when the customer base is still being built and the plant cannot yet fund the working capital that own-account processing demands.

2.4 The product mix

Carcass split and product pricing
Figure 8. Carcass split and product pricing.

Product

Share of carcass

Price per kg

Channel

Whole birds, fresh and frozen

28%

R48.00

Wholesale, independent retail, food service

Leg quarters and thighs

30%

R44.50

Wholesale and township retail; the volume line

Breast fillet and portions

24%

R64.00

Food service, QSR and formal retail; the margin line

Wings

11%

R52.00

Food service and QSR

Carcass trim and mechanically separated

7%

R23.00

Further processing and pet food

Blended dressed price

100%

R49.48

The blended dressed price of R49.48 per kilogram sits above commodity individually quick frozen portions, reported at about R35.38 per kilogram, and below premium retail. That positioning is deliberate and it is doing real work in the model: a plant selling a pure commodity IQF mix would earn several rand per kilogram less and would not clear its fixed cost base. The plan therefore depends on winning fresh, portioned and food-service business rather than competing at the bottom of the market.

By-product recovery and what it contributes to margin
Figure 9. By-product recovery and what it contributes to margin.

By-product

Kg per bird

Price per kg

Market

Chicken feet, paws

0.048

R32.00

Export and domestic; the highest-value by-product

Heads and necks

0.062

R14.50

Domestic informal and food service

Gizzards, hearts and livers

0.055

R41.00

Domestic retail and food service

Blood, feather and offal meal

0.140

R3.80

Animal feed and rendering

Total by-product value per bird

R5.22

27.6% of contribution

Chicken feet are the highest-value by-product at R32.00 a kilogram and carry export demand that a plant without a paw line forfeits entirely. Gizzards, hearts and livers follow at R41.00 a kilogram on a smaller mass. Together the four streams turn material that would otherwise be a rendering cost into R5.22 of revenue on every bird — more than a quarter of the contribution the plant earns.