Tarlton Beetroot Business Plan — Customer and Channel Analysis
Fresh produce market agents, retail programmes and processors, and what each channel pays and demands.
Section 9 of 37
Customer and Channel Analysis
Jump to section
- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. Investment Thesis
- 3. Company, Structure and Stage of Development
- 4. Customer Problem, Value Proposition and Monetisation
- 5. Products, Portfolio and Unit Economics
- 6. Industry Analysis
- 7. Market Analysis and Sizing
- 8. Customer and Channel Analysis
- 9. Competitive Landscape
- 10. Business Model
- 11. Go-to-Market Strategy
- 12. Operating Model: Agronomy and Production
- 13. Operating Model: Post-Harvest, Packhouse and Logistics
- 14. Water, Energy and Land: The Three Binding Constraints
- 15. Management and Organisation
- 16. Strategic Plan
- 17. SWOT Analysis
- 18. Risk Analysis and Register
- 19. ESG and Development Impact
- 20. Implementation Roadmap
- 21. Financial Assumptions
- 22. Projected Income Statement
- 23. Projected Balance Sheet
- 24. Projected Cash Flow
- 25. Capital Expenditure and Working Capital
- 26. Funding Requirement and Structure
- 27. Break-even Analysis
- 28. Debt Serviceability
- 29. Investment Returns and Valuation
- 30. Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
- 31. Phase 3: Processing Optionality
- 32. Key Performance Indicators and Management Dashboard
- 33. Conclusion and Investment Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Monthly Projections, Year 1
- B. Appendix B: Detailed Assumptions Register
- C. Appendix C: Glossary
Four buyer types with different economics, different payment behaviour and different switching costs — and the plan depends on winning the hardest one.
Table 12 Customer segment assessment
|
Segment |
Buying behaviour |
Net R/kg |
Payment days |
What it takes to win them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Formal retail, private label |
Seasonal supply agreement, audited specification |
9.80 |
32 |
GLOBALG.A.P., consistent weekly volume, a category buyer relationship and a successful trial. Two to three years of work. |
|
Municipal market agents |
Daily auction, no relationship required |
6.30 |
14 |
A market agent mandate and consignments that grade well. Achievable in weeks, which is why Year 1 depends on it. |
|
Informal and township wholesale |
Cash at farm gate, bulk pockets |
5.20 |
2 |
Reliability and a fair price. Low margin but zero receivable risk and no certification requirement. |
|
Processors and juicers |
Contracted outgrade volume, delivered |
2.40 |
30 |
A relationship with a processor. Absorbs Class 2 and outgrade product that would otherwise be waste. |
The commercial architecture follows from this table. The informal channel provides immediate cash and requires nothing the Company does not already have, so it is held at 17 to 20 per cent throughout as a stabiliser. The municipal market provides volume absorption without relationship investment, so it carries Year 1 and is then deliberately reduced. The processing channel converts waste into revenue at low margin. The retail channel is where the plan is won or lost.
The customer acquisition funnel for retail
Table 13 Retail channel acquisition funnel, Years 2 to 4
|
Stage |
Target |
Expected conversion |
Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Category buyers identified |
12 |
— |
Major chains, regional chains and two wholesale groups operating in Gauteng |
|
Initial engagement meetings |
9 |
75% |
Warm introduction through market agents and industry bodies |
|
Supplier assessment initiated |
5 |
56% |
Requires certification in progress and a credible volume forecast |
|
Paid trial consignments |
3 |
60% |
Small volumes at own cost; the Company must fund the trial |
|
Seasonal supply agreements |
2 |
67% |
Two agreements are sufficient to carry the Year 5 retail volume |
Two agreements at approximately 470 tonnes each carry the 46 per cent Year 5 retail share. Concentration on two counterparties is itself a risk, addressed as R7 in the risk register.
09