Tarlton Beetroot Business Plan — Projected Income Statement
Five-year income statement: revenue to R25.80m, gross margin reaching 47% and EBITDA of R5.79m by Year 5.
Section 23 of 37
Projected Income Statement
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- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. Investment Thesis
- 3. Company, Structure and Stage of Development
- 4. Customer Problem, Value Proposition and Monetisation
- 5. Products, Portfolio and Unit Economics
- 6. Industry Analysis
- 7. Market Analysis and Sizing
- 8. Customer and Channel Analysis
- 9. Competitive Landscape
- 10. Business Model
- 11. Go-to-Market Strategy
- 12. Operating Model: Agronomy and Production
- 13. Operating Model: Post-Harvest, Packhouse and Logistics
- 14. Water, Energy and Land: The Three Binding Constraints
- 15. Management and Organisation
- 16. Strategic Plan
- 17. SWOT Analysis
- 18. Risk Analysis and Register
- 19. ESG and Development Impact
- 20. Implementation Roadmap
- 21. Financial Assumptions
- 22. Projected Income Statement
- 23. Projected Balance Sheet
- 24. Projected Cash Flow
- 25. Capital Expenditure and Working Capital
- 26. Funding Requirement and Structure
- 27. Break-even Analysis
- 28. Debt Serviceability
- 29. Investment Returns and Valuation
- 30. Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
- 31. Phase 3: Processing Optionality
- 32. Key Performance Indicators and Management Dashboard
- 33. Conclusion and Investment Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Monthly Projections, Year 1
- B. Appendix B: Detailed Assumptions Register
- C. Appendix C: Glossary
Three loss-making years, a first EBITDA-positive month at month 36, and a first profitable year at Year 5.
Table 35 Projected income statement, R thousand, base case
|
R’000 |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Beetroot revenue |
357 |
1 629 |
4 097 |
13 266 |
17 840 |
|
Rotation crop revenue |
0 |
0 |
692 |
4 948 |
7 961 |
|
Total revenue |
357 |
1 629 |
4 789 |
18 214 |
25 801 |
|
Cost of sales |
(303) |
(1 152) |
(2 743) |
(9 711) |
(13 562) |
|
Gross profit |
54 |
477 |
2 046 |
8 503 |
12 239 |
|
Gross margin |
15.0% |
29.3% |
42.7% |
46.7% |
47.4% |
|
Operating expenses |
(1 520) |
(2 100) |
(4 224) |
(5 696) |
(6 447) |
|
EBITDA |
(1 466) |
(1 623) |
(2 179) |
2 807 |
5 792 |
|
EBITDA margin |
-411.2% |
-99.7% |
-45.5% |
15.4% |
22.4% |
|
Depreciation |
(292) |
(298) |
(1 266) |
(2 412) |
(2 469) |
|
EBIT |
(1 758) |
(1 921) |
(3 444) |
395 |
3 323 |
|
Net finance cost |
(77) |
(119) |
(930) |
(1 720) |
(1 604) |
|
Profit before tax |
(1 836) |
(2 040) |
(4 374) |
(1 325) |
1 719 |
|
Tax expense (current and deferred) |
(244) |
(113) |
(2 116) |
(932) |
(377) |
|
Net profit after tax |
(2 079) |
(2 153) |
(6 490) |
(2 258) |
1 342 |
|
Net margin |
-583.1% |
-132.2% |
-135.5% |
-12.4% |
5.2% |
Cash tax is nil in every year of the horizon. The tax expense shown is almost entirely deferred, arising because the First Schedule 50/30/20 farming allowance deducts capital expenditure faster than the accounts depreciate it. The deferred tax liability of R3.78 million at Year 5 is a real future obligation, not an accounting artefact.
Table 36 Operating expense detail, R thousand
|
R’000 |
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Executive and management salaries |
660 |
720 |
980 |
1 460 |
1 560 |
|
Technical and agronomy |
0 |
0 |
210 |
360 |
385 |
|
Commercial and key accounts |
0 |
90 |
300 |
400 |
425 |
|
Administration and finance |
144 |
180 |
260 |
340 |
365 |
|
Security |
60 |
108 |
216 |
252 |
264 |
|
Land and shed lease (Tarlton) |
132 |
288 |
288 |
0 |
0 |
|
Insurance (assets and liability) |
42 |
68 |
185 |
262 |
285 |
|
Professional fees and governance |
105 |
145 |
265 |
320 |
340 |
|
Certification and food-safety audits |
0 |
58 |
185 |
212 |
225 |
|
Vehicles, travel and fuel |
84 |
132 |
248 |
330 |
355 |
|
Office, IT, ERP and communications |
48 |
74 |
148 |
172 |
185 |
|
Repairs, maintenance and utilities |
26 |
50 |
215 |
365 |
400 |
|
Rates, taxes and statutory charges |
0 |
0 |
96 |
122 |
128 |
|
Marketing, trade and listing costs |
34 |
72 |
178 |
215 |
228 |
|
Total operating expenses |
1 520 |
2 100 |
4 224 |
5 696 |
6 447 |
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