Sakhile Construction Business Plan — Key Assumptions
Every turnover, margin, cost, capital and funding assumption behind the model, stated so a funder can test each one independently.
Key Assumptions
Jump to section
- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. The CIDB Grading Ladder
- 3. The Market in 2026
- 4. Strategy: Private Work First
- 5. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 6. The Working Capital Problem
- 7. Retention and Guarantees
- 8. Unit Economics of a Contract
- 9. The Five-Year Roadmap and Gates
- 10. Funding
- 11. Estimating and Contract Control
- 12. People and Plant
- 13. Compliance and Registrations
- 14. Financial Projections
- 15. Break-Even
- 16. Sensitivity and Scenarios
- 17. Risk Management
- 18. Implementation Timeline
- 19. Returns
- 20. Key Performance Indicators
- 21. Key Assumptions
- 22. Conclusion
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Capital Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Funding and Debt Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Glossary
- 21.1 Trading
- 21.2 Working capital, capital and funding
21.1 Trading
|
Assumption |
Year 1 |
Year 5 |
Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CIDB grade |
1GB |
6GB |
The lower of financial and works capability, per class |
|
Turnover |
R4.20m |
R52.00m |
Contracts run multiplied by average contract value |
|
Contracts run in the year |
6 |
18 |
Average contract rises from R700 000 to R2.89m |
|
Public share of turnover |
25.0% |
53.8% |
Private first; public as capital and grade allow |
|
Gross margin |
15.8% |
18.7% |
At final account across the completed book |
|
Materials |
38.7% of turnover |
37.4% |
Refreshed quotations at bid |
|
Site labour |
22.7% of turnover |
21.9% |
Labour constants from the company’s own contracts |
|
Subcontractors |
16.0% of turnover |
15.4% |
Written, scoped quotations valid for the tender period |
|
Plant hire and site establishment |
6.7% of turnover |
6.5% |
Own the daily items; hire the specialised ones |
|
Overhead |
R0.87m |
R6.21m |
Falls from 20.7% to 11.9% of turnover |
21.2 Working capital, capital and funding
|
Assumption |
Value |
Basis |
|---|---|---|
|
Public debtor days |
68 days |
Against a 30-day statutory requirement; practice extends to 75 |
|
Private debtor days |
38 days |
Materially faster, which is the basis of the Section 4 strategy |
|
Retention |
10% of every certificate |
Half released at practical completion, half after the defects liability period |
|
Work in progress |
19 to 24 days of direct cost |
Work done on site but not yet certified |
|
Trade creditors |
42 days on materials and subcontractors |
Merchants at 30 days at best, increasingly cash on delivery |
|
Net working capital |
18.5% of turnover at Year 5 |
R9.62m; the dominant call on capital |
|
Capital expenditure |
R8.97m over five years |
7.6% of cumulative turnover; deliberately low |
|
Founder equity |
R3.20m |
At inception |
|
Growth equity |
R6.50m |
At Year 3, when public work scales |
|
Asset finance |
12.5%, five years, straight-line capital |
R9.40m drawn across the five years |
|
Invoice discounting |
14.5% plus a 0.85% service fee, 85% advance |
Against certified, undisputed certificates only |
|
Corporate income tax |
27% of taxable profit |
Assessed losses carried forward under the section 20 limitation |
|
Exit multiple |
4.0 times Year 5 EBITDA |
Tested from 3.0 to 6.0 times in Section 19 |