Khanya Cold Chain Business Plan — The Energy Strategy
Why electricity is the dominant operating cost in refrigerated storage, and how solar and storage convert a tariff risk into a margin advantage.
The Energy Strategy
Jump to section
- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. The Business
- 3. Market Analysis
- 4. The Energy Strategy
- 5. Facility and Location
- 6. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 7. Commercial Plan
- 8. Operations
- 9. Financial Plan
- 10. Break-Even and Debt Service
- 11. Investment Analysis
- 12. Risk Analysis
- 13. Implementation Roadmap
- 14. Key Performance Indicators
- 15. Key Assumptions
- 16. Conclusion and Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Capital and Depreciation Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Funding and Debt Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Energy Model
- E. Appendix E: Risk Register
- F. Appendix F: Glossary
- 4.1 Why this section comes before operations
- 4.2 The thermal flywheel
- 4.3 Solar and standby generation
- 4.4 What this is worth, and what it is not
- 4.5 What the load-shifting day actually looks like
4.1 Why this section comes before operations
In most logistics businesses, energy is a line item. In frozen storage it is a design decision that determines whether the business is competitive, and it must be made before the building is specified rather than optimised afterwards. This section is placed ahead of operations for that reason.
The relevant fact is not the level of the electricity price but its shape. Eskom’s Megaflex tariff, the standard time-of-use tariff for larger industrial sites, charges 720.19 c/kWh for a unit drawn in a high-demand-season weekday peak block and 120.03 c/kWh for the same unit drawn overnight, both excluding VAT.
4.2 The thermal flywheel
A frozen chamber holding 2 600 pallets of product at −25°C stores an enormous quantity of thermal energy. Product temperature moves slowly; the chamber can be driven down to the bottom of its tolerance band overnight when energy costs 120 c/kWh, and the compressors can then be substantially unloaded through the morning and evening peak blocks while the product drifts upward within specification. Nothing about this compromises the cold chain, provided the tolerance band is defined, monitored and logged, which the quality system in Section 8.2 requires in any case.
|
Design decision |
Capital cost |
Why it is required |
|---|---|---|
|
Variable-speed drives and a well-zoned ammonia plant |
R27 600 000 |
Fixed-speed compressors cannot modulate through the peak; they simply run or do not |
|
An envelope specified beyond code |
R16 900 000 |
Thicker panel, better vapour barrier, air locks and rapid doors reduce heat ingress, which is what makes drift through a two-hour peak block survivable |
|
Battery storage of 600 kWh |
R2 900 000 |
The battery is not there to run the plant. It manages notified maximum demand and covers the short peak overlaps that thermal mass alone cannot absorb |
4.3 Solar and standby generation
A 700 kWp rooftop array at R9 100 000 supplies roughly a third of total consumption. The fit is unusually good: a cold store’s daytime load profile and a solar generation curve peak within a few hours of each other, so almost all generation is self-consumed at the standard-block price rather than exported at a lower credit. Standby generation of 1.2 MVA covers residual outages, modelled at 1.5 per cent of grid consumption at a diesel cost far above grid rates.
|
Strategy |
Year 3 cost |
Saving |
Cumulative saving |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Flat grid consumption, no shifting, no solar |
R5 175 719 |
— |
baseline |
|
Time-of-use load shifting only |
R4 152 612 |
20% |
R1 023 107 |
|
Load shifting plus 700 kWp solar |
R2 740 724 |
47% |
R2 434 995 |
|
As modelled: shifting, solar and standby generation |
R2 904 932 |
44% |
R2 270 787 |
4.4 What this is worth, and what it is not
4.5 What the load-shifting day actually looks like
|
Block |
Hours |
Charge |
Plant behaviour |
Chamber temperature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Off-peak overnight |
22:00–06:00 |
120.03 c/kWh |
Compressors run hard; chambers driven to the bottom of the tolerance band |
Falling to −27°C |
|
Morning peak |
07:00–10:00 |
720.19 c/kWh |
Compressors substantially unloaded; battery covers demand overlap |
Drifting up within band |
|
Standard daytime |
10:00–18:00 |
Roughly 280 c/kWh |
Solar carries most of the load; compressors modulate to hold set point |
Held at −25°C |
|
Evening peak |
18:00–20:00 |
720.19 c/kWh |
Compressors unloaded again; no solar; battery supports demand |
Drifting up within band |
|
Standard evening |
20:00–22:00 |
Roughly 280 c/kWh |
Recovery begins as the tariff falls |
Returning toward −25°C |
Two features of this cycle make it work. The chamber is never operated outside the documented tolerance band, so the load shifting is invisible to the customer and to the certification auditor; and the daytime standard block is carried substantially by solar, so the highest-consumption hours draw the least grid energy. Neither is available to an operator with fixed-speed compressors and no on-site generation, which is the structural advantage described in Section 1.2.