SA Best Peanut Butter Business Plan — Implementation Roadmap
The phases from plant construction and certification to two-shift operation, dependencies, and the gate at each stage.
Implementation Roadmap
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- Overview & contents
- i. Important Notice and Basis of Preparation
- 1. Executive Summary
- 2. Aflatoxin: The Question That Defines the Business
- 3. Market, Products and Pricing
- 4. Regulation and Food Safety
- 5. SWOT and Competitive Position
- 6. Operations
- 7. Financial Plan
- 8. Break-Even and Debt Service
- 9. Investment Analysis
- 10. Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
- 11. Risk Analysis
- 12. Implementation Roadmap
- 13. Key Performance Indicators
- 14. Key Assumptions
- 15. Conclusion and Recommendation
- A. Appendix A: Consolidated Financial Summary
- B. Appendix B: Volume, Kernel and Cost Schedules
- C. Appendix C: Funding, Debt and Working Capital Schedules
- D. Appendix D: Risk Register
- E. Appendix E: Glossary
- 12.1 Development programme
- 12.2 Critical dependencies
- 12.3 Conditions precedent to drawdown
12.1 Development programme
|
Phase |
Activities |
Duration |
Gate — do not proceed without |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1. Site and approvals |
Factory lease, zoning, effluent permit, Certificate of Acceptability application |
3 months |
Municipal approvals confirmed in principle |
|
2. Supply contracting |
Supplier qualification, audits, kernel contracting with certificates of analysis |
3 to 4 months |
70% of Year 1 kernel requirement contracted |
|
3. Customer commitment |
Private label negotiation, own-brand listing presentations |
4 to 6 months |
50% of Year 1 volume committed |
|
4. Construction |
Building fit-out, line installation, laboratory, utilities |
6 to 8 months |
Fixed-price contracts with retention |
|
5. Commissioning |
Trial production, shelf-life testing, sensory panels, line validation |
2 months |
Aflatoxin results consistently below 4 parts per billion on trial batches |
|
6. Certification |
FSSC 22000 audit, retailer technical audits, recall test |
2 months |
Certification achieved and recall procedure tested end to end |
|
7. Ramp |
One shift to two; own-brand listings built out |
Years 1 to 3 |
Second shift added in Year 2 against contracted volume |
12.2 Critical dependencies
|
Dependency |
What it gates |
Why it cannot be accelerated |
|---|---|---|
|
Contracted kernel supply with certificates of analysis |
The control programme and the economics |
Kernels are 45.4% of revenue and supplier qualification takes an audit cycle, not a purchase order |
|
Certificate of Acceptability and business licence |
Any production at all |
Regulation R638 requires inspection of a completed premises |
|
FSSC 22000 certification |
Retail and private label listings |
An audit assesses a system in operation; certification cannot precede trial production |
|
Private label commitment for half of Year 1 volume |
Filling the plant |
Fixed costs are R15 690 142 from day one and own-brand listings take longer than the plant takes to build |
|
Aflatoxin results below 4 ppb on trial batches |
Commercial production |
The internal limit is the control. A plant that cannot hold 4 will not hold 10 |
|
Retail listing fees committed |
Shelf space |
Listings are bought, not won, and R3 600 000 is required before a jar is sold |
|
Working capital facility committed at drawdown |
Trading through the ramp |
Retail chains pay in 48 days and kernels are held for 42; the facility is drawn to R25 689 744 |
|
Second-shift volume contracted |
The second shift |
It adds R2 700 000 of fixed cost. Adding it before demand exists deepens the loss |