AetherGas Energy Business Plan — Funding Requirement & Capital Structure

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Section 15 · 16 of 23

Funding Requirement & Capital Structure

Sources and uses

Uses (programme)

R m

Sources

R m

Exploration & drilling

950

Equity (40%)

1,920

LNG plant construction

1,700

Senior project debt (50%)

2,400

Helium liquefaction plant

1,100

DFI subordinated debt (10%)

480

Cryogenic logistics

420

Working capital

280

Environmental compliance

150

Technology systems

200

Total headline programme

4,800

Total headline raise

4,800

Figure 19. Use of funds across the R4.8bn programme.

The true peak requirement

The headline R4.8bn covers the physical programme and working capital but not the financing costs the structure itself creates. Capitalised senior interest during construction (R262m), subordinated PIK (R204m) and the R180m DSRA lift the true peak funding requirement to approximately R5.08 billion. The capitalised interest is absorbed within facility headroom, peak debt balances of R2.74bn senior and R0.61bn subordinated, but the arithmetic must be visible to lenders at close, not discovered mid-construction.

Figure 20. Peak funding requirement versus headline raise.

Key findingFunding gap and standby facility

Peak requirement ≈ R5.08bn vs the R4.8bn headline. The ~R285m difference is structural (IDC, PIK, DSRA), not contingency. A separate cost-overrun and delay buffer of 8–10% of remaining capex (R400–500m) should additionally be committed as a standby equity/mezzanine facility at close, the downside scenario consumes most of it. And tranche-1 equity of R1.1bn must be irrevocably committed at close: FY2027–28 combine R155m of EBITDA losses with R1.35bn of capex before senior debt draws at scale. Pledged-but-uncalled equity is the failure mode this sector has already demonstrated.

Facility terms (indicative term-sheet basis)

Facility

Amount

Pricing

Tenor / profile

Key conditions

Senior project debt

R2,400m

JIBAR +350–400bps

12-yr; IDC to FY29; sculpted amort from FY31

Reserves certified; ≥50% LNG offtake; ≥60% helium floors; DSRA

DFI subordinated

R480m

15% (PIK to FY29)

10-yr; partial sweep from FY31

ESG performance targets; development covenants

Equity

R1,920m

Drawn FY27–29, first-in

Milestone-released tranches; anti-dilution

Standby (recommended)

R400–500m

Commitment fee + margin

Available to FY2030

Overrun/delay triggers; drawstop cures

Figure 21. Funding drawdown sequencing: equity first, debt against milestones.